Navigate

Women's Regatta at KP Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 50
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 63
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 85
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 86
5 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 91
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 95
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 151
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 3 2 1 2 3 3 14 Lauren Ehnot '24 [1-4]
J.J. Smith '24 [5-6]
Sophia Mulvania '26 [1-4]
Kit Harned '27 [5-6]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 A 5 1 5 4 6 1 22 Torrey Chisari '24
Kiki Bruzzi '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 9 9 2 3 5 4 32 Annika Vanderhorst '27
Grace Jenkins '27
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 8 3 10 BKD 1 5 32 Elizabeth Starck '25
Anna Mcbride '24
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 A 2 5 12 6 7 2 34 Adra Ivancich '26
Caroline Friendly '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 4 12 4 1 2 11 34 Elizabeth Cutler '24
Leah Spadaro '25
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 1 7 6 5 10 7 36 Sophia Devling '26 [1-6]
Amelia Neumann '25 [1-4]
Clara Hewson '24 [5-6]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 B 6 4 7 8 8 8 41 Margaux Cowles '27
Anna Hoffman '26
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 7 13 8 7 9 9 53 Brook Wood '25
Laura Therien '26
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 13 11 9 11 4 6 54 Katherine Mason '27
Caelan Mcmichael '26
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 B 11 8 3 9 13 13 57 Annabelle Brameld '27
Hannah Bast '25
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 10 6 11 10 12 12 61 Lizzie Cochran '27 [1-4]
Samantha Hemans '27 [5-6]
Isa Arrigo '27 [1-4]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 12 10 14 12 11 10 69 Carly Mraz '25
Kate Feiner '26
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 14 14 13 13 14 14 82 Evelyn Walsh '26
Kaitlyn Greppin '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red112233
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22111414
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen334455
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners556677
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 1665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 2778899
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers443322

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red887766
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams9910101111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen10109988
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners121211111010
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 11313141411
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers 2141413131212
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers111112121313

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From E (86°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine5.7 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1018.6 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · S 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →