Allstate Sugar Bowl

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 189
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 226
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 315
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 422
5 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 603
6 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 639
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 1 1 1 4 3 3 1 5 1 2 1 3 1 10 37 Hamilton Barclay '27 [1-13]
Taylor Bartell '28 [14]
Taylor Bartell '28 [1-13]
Hamilton Barclay '27 [14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal A 2 2 6 1 2 10 2 7 12 5 4 1 3 9 66 Griggs Diemar '25
Dylan Sih '28
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 8 4 2 3 10 6 3 9 4 1 3 5 10 3 71 Christian Ebbin '28 [1-8]
Tate Christopher '29 [9-14]
Sabrina Anderson '28 [1-8]
Hope Breslin '26 [9-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal C 5 10 9 2 4 2 6 4 7 10 7 6 2 2 76 Thomas Whidden '28
Abby Baird '28
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave C 3 5 4 9 1 9 8 2 10 7 5 9 8 1 81 Kelly Holthus '27 [1-8]
John Wood '26 [9-14]
Jonah Wozniak '29 [1-8]
Charlotte Casey '29 [9-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal B 4 7 8 10 5 8 7 12 3 3 2 2 6 7 84 Freddie Parkin '29
Kate Myles '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 6 3 5 11 7 4 9 1 13 8 13 12 4 5 101 Owen Bannasch '26
Reagan Carris '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 13 11 10 5 8 11 11 3 6 4 8 8 5 4 107 Pj Rodrigues '28
Avery Guck '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 7 9 7 6 9 5 5 10 8 6 9 4 9 13 107 Patrick Igoe '26
Ella Wisely '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins C 9 6 3 7 11 1 4 13 2 9 10 13 7 12 107 Cole Schweda '27
Taylor Collison '28
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 10 8 11 8 6 14 10 6 5 12 6 10 13 6 125 Jordan Vieira '28
Tia Soultanakis '26
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 12 12 12 15 16 18 12 8 11 11 11 15 11 11 175 Ossian Kamal '26 [1-14]
Kate Feiner '26 [1-6]
Cora Lecates '26 [7-14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 14 13 14 12 14 7 13 11 16 15 15 7 12 14 177 William Styslinger '28
Katherine Ahlquist '28
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons C 11 14 13 13 12 15 17 15 9 14 12 14 14 17 190 Peter Miller '29
Peyton Seidle '29
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers C 18 17 15 17 15 13 15 14 14 13 14 11 18 8 202 Caden Harrison '28
Max Blake '28
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 15 18 17 16 13 12 16 16 17 18 17 16 15 18 224 Nigel Yu '27
Jack Graskamp '28
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 16 15 16 18 17 16 14 18 15 17 18 17 16 16 229 Evelyn Walsh '26 [1-8]
William Roberts '26 [9-14]
Kaitlyn Greppin '26 [1-4, 7-12]
Cora Lecates '26 [5-6]
Cole Crosby '26 [13-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers C 17 16 18 14 18 17 18 17 18 16 16 18 17 15 235 Johnny Leadingham '26 [1-14]
Tacy Guest '26 [1-2, 7-14]
Cole Crosby '26 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11223344556677
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins221118181717161615151414
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers33445566778899
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal44332211181817171616
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave556677889910101111
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers6655443322111818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons7788991010111112121313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins88776655443322
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers99101011111212131314141515
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1010998877665544
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1111121213131414151516161717
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers12121111101099887766

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons13131414151516161717181811
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins141413131212111110109988
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1515161617171818112233
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1616151514141313121211111010
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave171718181122334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1818171716161515141413131212

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

88°F
↑ 93°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 95°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From E (94°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →