Tulane University '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.83 (fleet 3.88) | 66 of 328 | +0.03 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 32–10 (76%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 24–8 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 8–2 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (42 matches) the record is 32–10 against 30.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 3.18 | 4.16 | 4–2 | 2.6 | +0.98 | 1.0 | 22% |
| 2026-03-07 | Bob Bavier Open Team Race | skipper | 3.15 | 2.94 | 8–6 | 8.5 | −0.21 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2026-02-21 | Corpus Christi Spring Open Team Race | skipper | 2.96 | 5.96 | 12–0 | 11.9 | ≥+3.00 | 0.1 | 95% |
| 2024-03-02 | Garner Tullis | skipper | 2.39 | 2.89 | 8–2 | 7.6 | +0.49 | 0.1 | 60% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 50% | — |
| SEISA Open Fleet Race Conference Championship | Skipper | A | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| Corpus Christi Spring Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 100% | — |
| Bob Bavier Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 13 | 62% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Allstate Sugar Bowl | Skipper | C | 6 | 6.7 | 0.21 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.9 | 3.76 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Allstate Sugar Bowl Open | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.6 | 2.40 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.0 | 3.79 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.6 | 3.78 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Garner Tullis | Skipper | TR | 14 | 86% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sugar Bowl Open | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.9 | 0.97 |
| SEISA Open Fall Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.8 | 2.63 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Nelson Roltsch Scrimmage | Crew | A | 6 | 13.7 | -0.24 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Fall Open Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.2 | 4.44 |
| Baldwin Wood | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.0 | 3.80 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
