SEISA Open Fall Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 49
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 94
3 Rice University Rice University Owls 149
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 154
5 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 197
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 206
7 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 213
8 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 282
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 3 1 1 1 4 1 2 2 2 2 19 John Wood '26 [1-6]
Oakley Cunningham '27 [7-10]
Claire Lewis '27 [1-4]
Caroline Caudron '27 [5-6]
Caitlin Briggs '27 [7-10]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 1 3 2 2 1 4 5 4 4 4 30 Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [1-6]
Ava Anderson '27 [7-10]
Parker Kumler '27 [1-4]
Caitlin Briggs '27 [5-6]
Catherine Anderson '26 [7-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A 6 2 4 3 3 8 1 1 1 1 30 Michael Morse '25
Sydney Krahulik '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns B 4 6 9 6 2 5 6 7 3 5 53 Reese Zebrowski '26 [1-10]
Rahul Shah '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Rohit Rajan '26 [5-8]
Rice University Rice University Owls A 2 9 7 BKD 6 2 3 8 10 8 61 Ricky Miller '26
Aidan Murphy '25
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B 9 4 3 4 8 12 8 5 8 3 64 Cole Broberg '25 [1]
Hanna Progelhof '25 [2-10]
Kate Hennig '26 [1]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders A 8 5 11 5 5 3 4 6 9 12 68 Nicholas Carew '27 [1-10]
Hailey Howerton '24 [1-4, 9-10]
Maddy Lee '27 [5-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green A 10 10 6 10 7 10 7 3 11 9 83 Taylor Snyder '24
Alana Babilonia '25
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies A 11 7 5 BKD 9 6 12 9 7 13 88 Jacob Granberry '26 [1-10]
John Pixton '27 [1-8]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [9-10]
Rice University Rice University Owls B 7 8 8 9 10 9 9 10 12 6 88 Arthur Unger '25 [1-10]
Leo Marek '26 [1-4]
Taylor Griffeth '25 [5-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns A 14 11 13 7 11 7 14 12 5 7 101 Oliver Fenner '26
Sophia Herrada '24
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green B 5 14 14 11 16 14 11 13 6 10 114 Timothy Verriere '24
Savannah Sterne '28
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies B 13 12 10 8 15 11 13 11 14 11 118 Zachary Aronson '27 [1-6]
Cecillia Siegel '25 [7-10]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [1-6]
Zachary Aronson '27 [7-10]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks A 12 13 12 12 13 15 10 15 15 15 132 Valor Adair '24 [1-10]
Emma Russin '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Evann Greene '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders B 16 15 16 14 14 13 16 14 13 14 145 Triston Haden '26
Robin Loessin '26
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks B 15 16 15 13 12 16 15 16 16 16 150 Lucas Beach '26 [1-10]
Abe Pankratz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Bryce Limbacher '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks6655443322
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green77889910101111
Rice UniversityRice University Owls1122334455
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns8877665544
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies2211161615151414
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders3344556677
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies443322111616
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave5566778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks14141313121211111010
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green15151616112233
Rice UniversityRice University Owls991010111112121313
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns16161515141413131212
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies101099887766
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders11111212131314141515
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies1212111110109988
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave131314141515161611
School / Team SkipperCrew
Rice University Rice University Ricky Miller '26 Aidan Murphy '25
Owls Arthur Unger '25 [1-10] Leo Marek '26 [1-4]
Taylor Griffeth '25 [5-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Michael Morse '25 Sydney Krahulik '27
Aggies Cole Broberg '25 [1]
Hanna Progelhof '25 [2-10]
Kate Hennig '26 [1]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Nicholas Carew '27 [1-10] Hailey Howerton '24 [1-4, 9-10]
Maddy Lee '27 [5-8]
Islanders Triston Haden '26 Robin Loessin '26
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jacob Granberry '26 [1-10] John Pixton '27 [1-8]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [9-10]
Aggies Zachary Aronson '27 [1-6]
Cecillia Siegel '25 [7-10]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [1-6]
Zachary Aronson '27 [7-10]
Tulane University Tulane University Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [1-6]
Ava Anderson '27 [7-10]
Parker Kumler '27 [1-4]
Caitlin Briggs '27 [5-6]
Catherine Anderson '26 [7-10]
Green Wave John Wood '26 [1-6]
Oakley Cunningham '27 [7-10]
Claire Lewis '27 [1-4]
Caroline Caudron '27 [5-6]
Caitlin Briggs '27 [7-10]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Valor Adair '24 [1-10] Emma Russin '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Evann Greene '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Jayhawks Lucas Beach '26 [1-10] Abe Pankratz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Bryce Limbacher '25 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Taylor Snyder '24 Alana Babilonia '25
Mean Green Timothy Verriere '24 Savannah Sterne '28
University of Texas University of Texas Oliver Fenner '26 Sophia Herrada '24
Longhorns Reese Zebrowski '26 [1-10] Rahul Shah '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Rohit Rajan '26 [5-8]

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 84°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1015.4 hPa Rain0.39 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · N 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →