Texas A&M University '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.61 (fleet 0.86) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–28 (35%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 3 | 11–17 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 4–11 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (43 matches) the record is 15–28 against 15.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-06 | SEISA Open Team Racing Championship | skipper | 0.84 | 0.94 | 5–3 | 4.9 | +0.10 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2024-03-02 | Garner Tullis | skipper | 0.74 | 0.27 | 2–12 | 2.7 | −0.46 | 0.2 | 83% |
| 2024-02-03 | Q1 Regatta | skipper | 0.74 | 0.81 | 4–2 | 3.9 | +0.07 | 0.0 | 65% |
| 2023-04-15 | SEISA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.46 | 1.18 | 3–6 | 2.4 | +0.73 | 0.3 | 49% |
| 2023-02-25 | McCarthy Cup | skipper | 0.31 | -0.24 | 1–5 | 1.4 | −0.55 | 0.2 | 85% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | B | 9 | 13.3 | -0.10 |
| SEISA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| Fall Fury | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.3 | 1.67 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Open Team Racing Championship | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| SEISA Open Fleet Championship | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.5 | — |
| Q1 Regatta | Skipper | TR | 3 | 100% | — |
| Garner Tullis | Skipper | TR | 14 | 14% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Open Fall Championship | Skipper | B | 1 | 9.0 | — |
| Troy Swetnam Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.6 | 0.61 |
| Aggie Fall | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.2 | 1.29 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 33% | — |
| McCarthy Cup | Skipper | TR | 8 | 38% | — |
| Keelhauler Open | Crew | A | 7 | 4.9 | -0.04 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Fall Open Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.4 | 1.45 |
| Kathryn Hammond Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.1 | -0.40 |
| Baldwin Wood | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.0 | -2.35 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Troy Swetnam Memorial | Skipper | B | 11 | 6.1 | -1.75 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
