Troy Swetnam Memorial

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 108
2 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 115
3 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 137
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 185
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 193
6 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 199
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders B 1 1 2 1 2 4 1 1 2 7 7 1 30 Ryan Ingram '25 [1-12]
Drake Spradlin '22 [1-6]
Casey Gallagher '23 [7-12]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green A 4 2 3 3 1 1 5 6 1 2 1 2 31 Taylor Snyder '24
Alaya Weekley '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 A 8 5 5 5 3 5 7 7 3 4 4 8 64 Gunnar Pierson '24 [1-12]
Nathan Henderson '25 [1-6]
Caleb Reutener '24 [7-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 B 3 4 7 9 10 11 4 5 4 3 3 3 66 Victor Malbrel '24
Laurel Plagens '24
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 A 2 6 8 2 9 2 3 2 9 11 8 9 71 Katie Parnell '23
Maggie Menefee '25
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green B 10 8 9 4 6 7 10 4 7 1 6 5 77 Jamie Weston '22 [1-12]
Gavin Garcia '24 [1-4]
Rohit Rajan '26 [5-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 B 12 DNS 4 7 5 3 9 8 6 5 2 6 80 Cole Broberg '25
Molly Klussmann '23
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 B 7 9 6 10 4 10 6 10 5 6 5 4 82 Ryan Skiba '24 [1-12]
Jacob Carcasi '23 [1-4, 9-12]
Kaleb Soule '24 [5-8]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders A 5 7 1 6 7 9 8 3 10 8 10 11 85 Sydney Boucher '24
Cliff Ehrke '23
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 A 11 11 12 8 8 6 2 9 8 9 9 10 103 Jason Elliott '25 [1-12]
Alexander Pickett '25 [1-4]
Emily Gaskins '25 [5-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 A 6 3 10 11 11 8 12 12 12 10 12 12 119 Colton Redding '23
Emily Davison '24
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 B 9 10 11 12 12 12 11 11 11 12 11 7 129 Cecillia Siegel '25 [1-2, 9-12]
Lorin Dollar '22 [3-8]
Hannah Braden '24 [1-2, 9-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green666666666666
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1111111111111
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2222222222222
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders333333333333
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1444444444444
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2555555555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green121212121212121212121212
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1777777777777
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2888888888888
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders999999999999
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1101010101010101010101010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2111111111111111111111111

Conditions — 10/09/2021 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From S (182°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover54% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1015.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.25 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →