Aggie Fall

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 17 26 43
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 34 21 55
3 Rice University Rice University Owls 33 38 71
4 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 44 31 75
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks 43 35 78
6 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 30 73 103
7 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 47 62 109
8 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 60 53 113
9 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Farmers Bailing 73 64 137
10 University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Boomer 95 54 149
11 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 67 86 153
12 University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooner 81 82 163
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 6 1 1 1 3 2 1 17 Hanna Progelhof '25
Kate Hennig '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 3 3 2 4 9 6 1 2 30 Nicholas Carew '27 [1-8]
Hailey Howerton '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Celesta Stinson '24 [3-4]
Maddy Lee '27 [7-8]
Rice University Rice University Owls 1 7 4 2 5 2 8 4 33 Leo Marek '26
Ahitagni Das '27
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 5 5 3 6 3 1 6 5 34 Jacob Granberry '26
John Pixton '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks 4 1 8 7 6 4 5 8 43 Ryan Ingram '25
Emily Davison '24
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 7 8 5 10 2 5 4 3 44 Taylor Snyder '24
Alana Babilonia '25
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 6 4 6 5 4 8 7 7 47 Zachary Aronson '27
Brody Larson Larson '25
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 8 2 7 3 10 10 9 11 60 Valor Adair '24 [1-8]
Emma Russin '23 [1-6]
Abe Pankratz '25 [7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 9 9 11 8 12 9 3 6 67 Neftali Guerrero '26
Victoria Applegate '25
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Farmers Bailing 10 11 9 9 7 7 11 9 73 Katy Heaney '23
Colton Redding '23
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooner 11 10 10 11 8 11 10 10 81 Beau Lauffer '24
Mira Hays '26
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Boomer 12 12 12 12 11 12 12 12 95 Kegan Reynolds '26
Matthew Carroll '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 6 2 1 2 3 1 2 4 21 Brett Pearson '26 [1-8]
Isabella Mattison '25 [1-4]
Signe Sultana '26 [5-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 3 6 7 3 1 2 26 Cole Broberg '25
Jamie Morin '27
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 3 31 Timothy Verriere '24
Savannah Sterne '28
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks 2 6 2 4 9 7 4 1 35 Sydney Krahulik '27
Isha Pokerna '25
Rice University Rice University Owls 3 1 4 5 11 4 5 5 38 Arthur Unger '25
Ignacio Quiroz Vargas '27
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 5 5 8 9 6 6 6 8 53 Robert Scheer '27
Bryce Limbacher '25
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Boomer 7 8 9 1 5 9 9 6 54 Joseph Dunning '27
Rory Mitchell '27
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 9 7 6 8 8 10 7 7 62 Jack Meyer '27 [1-4]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [5-8]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [1-4]
Jack Meyer '27 [5-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Farmers Bailing 11 12 7 10 2 2 8 12 64 Ian Casteel '26
Kennedy Long '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 10 9 11 12 1 8 DSQ 9 73 Eduardo Gomez '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Triston Haden '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Colleen Kilbury '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Robin Loessin '26 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Sooner 12 11 10 7 10 11 11 10 82 Caidan Stecklein '26
Rylan Reynolds '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Rudders Rudders 8 10 12 11 12 12 10 11 86 Gretchen March '25
Alyssa Schaefer '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks99101011111212
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green10101111121211
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Boomer111112121122
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooner1212112233
Rice UniversityRice University Owls11223344
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies22334455
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Farmers Bailing55667788
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks33445566
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rudders Rudders44556677
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders66778899
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 17788991010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2889910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks99101011111212
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green10101111121211
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Boomer111112121122
University of OklahomaUniversity of Oklahoma Sooner1212112233
Rice UniversityRice University Owls11223344
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies22334455
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Farmers Bailing55667788
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rev's Roll Tacks33445566
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Rudders Rudders44556677
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders66778899
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 17788991010
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2889910101111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Rice University Rice University Leo Marek '26 Ahitagni Das '27
Owls Arthur Unger '25 Ignacio Quiroz Vargas '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Hanna Progelhof '25 Kate Hennig '26
Aggies Cole Broberg '25 Jamie Morin '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Katy Heaney '23 Colton Redding '23
Farmers Bailing Ian Casteel '26 Kennedy Long '26
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Ryan Ingram '25 Emily Davison '24
Rev's Roll Tacks Sydney Krahulik '27 Isha Pokerna '25
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Neftali Guerrero '26 Victoria Applegate '25
Rudders Rudders Gretchen March '25 Alyssa Schaefer '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Nicholas Carew '27 [1-8] Hailey Howerton '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Celesta Stinson '24 [3-4]
Maddy Lee '27 [7-8]
Islanders Eduardo Gomez '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Triston Haden '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Colleen Kilbury '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Robin Loessin '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jacob Granberry '26 John Pixton '27
Aggies 1 Brett Pearson '26 [1-8] Isabella Mattison '25 [1-4]
Signe Sultana '26 [5-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Zachary Aronson '27 Brody Larson Larson '25
Aggies 2 Jack Meyer '27 [1-4]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [5-8]
Jean-Luc Murray '26 [1-4]
Jack Meyer '27 [5-8]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Valor Adair '24 [1-8] Emma Russin '23 [1-6]
Abe Pankratz '25 [7-8]
Jayhawks Robert Scheer '27 Bryce Limbacher '25
University of North Texas University of North Texas Taylor Snyder '24 Alana Babilonia '25
Mean Green Timothy Verriere '24 Savannah Sterne '28
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Kegan Reynolds '26 Matthew Carroll '24
Boomer Joseph Dunning '27 Rory Mitchell '27
University of Oklahoma University of Oklahoma Beau Lauffer '24 Mira Hays '26
Sooner Caidan Stecklein '26 Rylan Reynolds '27

Conditions — 10/21/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1012.2 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 91°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.2 kn
avg  ·  max 3.3 kn
Gusts to 10.1 kn
From ESE (122°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1012.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn · S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Texas A&M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →