SEISA Open Fleet Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 29
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 59
3 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 85
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 88
5 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 124
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 13 Hamilton Barclay '27
Caitlin Briggs '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 2 5 4 1 2 1 1 16 Kelly Holthus '27
Oakley Cunningham '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B 3 1 3 4 4 4 2 21 Michael Morse '25
Kate Hennig '26
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns A 5 4 5 2 3 3 6 28 Reese Zebrowski '26
Sean Padilla '27
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies A 4 3 2 6 7 9 7 38 William Tebrake '27
Luke Tezza '25
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 38 Cole Broberg '25 [1-2]
Hanna Progelhof '25 [3-7]
Colton Redding '23 [1-6]
Evelyn Dubois '27 [7]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies B 6 7 7 8 10 7 5 50 Jacob Granberry '26
Brett Pearson '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders A 8 9 9 7 8 6 8 55 Nicholas Carew '27
Hailey Howerton '24
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns B 9 8 8 9 6 8 9 57 Oliver Fenner '26 [1-5]
Rohit Rajan '26 [6-7]
Rohit Rajan '26 [1-5]
Dennis Kostjuhin '27 [6-7]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders B 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 69 Noah Aycock '25
Maddy Lee '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns5555555
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1111111
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders2222222
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies3333333
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave4444444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns10101010101010
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies6666666
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders7777777
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies8888888
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave9999999

Conditions — 04/06/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1011.1 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.7 kn
avg  ·  max 17.4 kn
Gusts to 29.5 kn
From S (173°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover92% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1011.1 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 17 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →