Matheo Graham-Capasso

Rating History

Crew Rating

Career: 27.66 percentile of ICSA crews (limited evidence)
2.502.753.003.253.50T. Lettsome (4 races): -0.30T. LettsomeK. Holthus (4 races): +0.28K. HolthusFall 2023: rating 2.83Fall 2023Tulane UniversityT. Lettsome (8 races): -0.31T. LettsomeSpring 2024: rating 3.27Spring 2024Tulane University
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2024 Tulane University 3.27 Rating 3.27; 90% range -0.0 to 6.6; team skipper average 3.69 84.20 25.00 11 of 14 8 Team page
Fall 2023 Tulane University 2.83 Rating 2.83; 90% range -0.5 to 6.2; team skipper average 3.28 75.88 26.47 13 of 17 8 Team page

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded2.6494 of 25130Fall 2025

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
2.60 (fleet 3.50) 106 of 328 +0.07 ± 0.16
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 68–33 (67%)
as crew 23–7 (77%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2026325–10—
Spring 20252—6–1
Spring 2024416–176–6
Spring 2023527–611–0
1.7522.252.52.75Spring 2023Spring 2024Spring 2026Nelson Roltsch Team Race (2023-04-01): rating 1.77, fleet rating alone 1.76, offset +0.01; record 11-1 in this boatCollege Sailing Team Race National Championship (2023-05-27): rating 2.13, fleet rating alone 2.07, offset +0.06; record 1-0 in this boatGarner Tullis (2024-03-02): rating 2.28, fleet rating alone 2.24, offset +0.05; record 12-2 in this boatThe 41st Cardinal Red Lynne Marchiando Trophy (2024-03-30): rating 2.35, fleet rating alone 2.27, offset +0.08; record 4-14 in this boatICSA Open Team Racing National Championship (2024-04-25): rating 2.38, fleet rating alone 2.28, offset +0.11; record 0-1 in this boatCorpus Christi Spring Open Team Race (2026-02-21): rating 2.63, fleet rating alone 2.56, offset +0.07; record 12-0 in this boatBob Bavier Open Team Race (2026-03-07): rating 2.63, fleet rating alone 2.56, offset +0.07; record 8-6 in this boatSouthern NE Team Race (2026-03-14): rating 2.59, fleet rating alone 2.53, offset +0.06; record 2-3 in this boatSouthern NE Team Race (2026-03-14): rating 2.59, fleet rating alone 2.53, offset +0.06; record 3-1 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 11 graded regattas (127 matches) the record is 88–39 against 83.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+4.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-03-14Southern NE Team Raceskipper3.073.365–44.4+0.290.147%
2026-03-07Bob Bavier Open Team Raceskipper3.162.958–68.5−0.210.175%
2026-02-21Corpus Christi Spring Open Team Raceskipper3.146.1412–011.9≥+3.000.195%
2025-04-05SEISA Open Team Race Championshipcrew3.616.614–04.0≥+3.000.0>99%
2025-03-22Aaron Szambecki Team Racecrew3.592.972–12.4−0.620.288%
2024-03-30The 41st Cardinal Red Lynne Marchiando Trophyskipper2.783.174–143.0+0.400.336%
2024-03-23Aaron Szambecki Team Racecrew3.293.066–66.6−0.230.176%
2024-03-02Garner Tullisskipper2.763.7112–211.0+0.950.733%
2023-04-15SEISA Open Team Race Championshipcrew2.955.959–09.0≥+3.000.096%
2023-04-01Nelson Roltsch Team Raceskipper2.144.0411–18.0+1.903.54%
2023-03-04Garner Tullisskipper1.792.0615–514.5+0.270.151%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Southern NE Team Race Skipper TR 12 50% —
SEISA Open Fleet Race Conference Championship Crew B 2 2.5 +0.06
Corpus Christi Spring Open Team Race Skipper TR 12 100% —
Bob Bavier Open Team Race Skipper TR 13 62% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta Skipper A 4 10.5 3.28
SEISA ILCA 7 Mens Qualifier Singlehanded Skipper A 7 4.3 1.71
Open Atlantic Coast Championship Finals Crew A 2 9.0 -0.04
Glen S. Foster Trophy Singlehanded Skipper A 7 12.1 2.97
Spring 2025 Team page Season
SEISA Open Team Race Championship Crew TR 4 100% —
Aaron Szambecki Team Race Crew TR 17 53% —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
SEISA Singlehanded Open Championship Singlehanded Skipper A 3 1.3 5.22
Allstate Sugar Bowl Open Skipper A 14 8.2 1.20
Nevins Trophy Skipper A 9 10.2 3.22
Glen S. Foster Trophy Singlehanded Skipper A 13 10.8 2.94
Spring 2024 Team page Season
ICSA Open Team Racing National Championship Skipper TR 15 20% —
Garner Tullis Skipper TR 14 86% —
Eastern Open National Semi-Final Crew A 8 8.5 -0.31
Aaron Szambecki Team Race Crew TR 15 47% —
The 41st Cardinal Red Lynne Marchiando Trophy Skipper TR 18 22% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Sugar Bowl Open Skipper B 7 7.0 1.29
SEISA Open Fall Championship Skipper A 6 2.2 2.97
Nevins Trophy Skipper B 2 3.0 5.40
Atlantic Coast Open Championship Finals Crew A 8 11.5 -0.02
Spring 2023 Team page Season
SEISA Open Team Race Championship Crew TR 9 100% —
College Sailing Team Race National Championship Skipper TR 15 33% —
Nelson Roltsch Team Race Skipper TR 12 92% —
Nelson Roltsch Scrimmage Skipper A 6 6.7 3.37
Garner Tullis Skipper TR 20 75% —
Aaron Szambecki Team Race Crew TR — — —
85th Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup Skipper A 8 11.8 3.25
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Baldwin Wood Skipper B 9 6.1 -0.34

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →