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Tom Curtis Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 10 10
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 21 21
3 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 21 21
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 23 23
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 23 23
6 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 24 24
7 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 11 25 25
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 26 26
9 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 34 34
10 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 40 40
11 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 41 41
12 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 42 42
13 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 10 43 43
14 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 54 54
15 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 58 58
16 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 13 64 64
17 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 12 66 66
18 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 69 69
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 3 3 2 2 10 Peter Barnard '27
Teddy Stoldt '28
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 2 10 5 4 21 Ben Mueller '26 [1-2]
Oliver Keeves '28 [3-4]
Kate Castleberry '28 [1-2]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 7 1 8 5 21 Enzo Menditto '26
Margot Gordon '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 1 2 10 10 23 Benjamin Smith '26
Abigail Chang '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 5 6 1 11 23 Peter Herlihy '29
Scarlett Harris '28
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 4 7 7 6 24 Hamilton Barclay '27 [1-2]
Kelly Holthus '27 [3-4]
Taylor Bartell '28 [1-2]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 11 10 11 3 1 25 Xavier Stoldt '26 [1-2]
Kelly Bates '26 [3-4]
Meredith Kean '26 [1-2]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 9 8 6 3 26 Pearse Dowd '29
Sean Beaver '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 8 15 4 7 34 Owen Kohut '29 [1-2]
Emily Doble '28 [3-4]
Vaughn Slatoff '26 [1]
Lia Nafe '29 [2-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 13 9 9 9 40 Christian Ebbin '28 [1-2]
Tate Christopher '29 [3-4]
Sabrina Anderson '28 [1-2]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 11 5 13 12 41 Alexa Shea '26
Alexis Tamm '26
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 14 4 11 13 42 Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [1-2]
Ryan Ehnot '26 [3-4]
Ryan Ehnot '26 [1-2]
Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [3-4]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 10 6 14 15 8 43 Jake Julien '28
Irene Lin '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 12 12 16 14 54 Lucy Jervis '27
Marion Snideman '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 15 16 12 15 58 Conrad Cook '29
Clare Daniels '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 13 18 13 17 16 64 Nathan Van Doorn '28 [1, 4]
Jack Duffy '27 [2-3]
Ajai Singh '29 [1, 4]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 12 17 18 14 17 66 James Rizek '28 [1, 4]
Adelia Derose '26 [2-3]
Phoebe Burke '28 [1, 4]
Poshu Ng '27 [2-3]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 16 17 18 18 69 Thomas Daniels '26
Addi Harris '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 11111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1010101010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1212121212
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1316161616
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 22222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 33333
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 44444
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 55555
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 66666
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 77777
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 88888
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 99999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 117171717
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 218181818
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 113131313
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 214141414
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 315151515
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 Enzo Menditto '26 Margot Gordon '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 10 Jake Julien '28 Irene Lin '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 11 Xavier Stoldt '26 [1-2]
Kelly Bates '26 [3-4]		 Meredith Kean '26 [1-2]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 12 James Rizek '28 [1, 4]
Adelia Derose '26 [2-3]		 Phoebe Burke '28 [1, 4]
Poshu Ng '27 [2-3]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 13 Nathan Van Doorn '28 [1, 4]
Jack Duffy '27 [2-3]		 Ajai Singh '29 [1, 4]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 Peter Barnard '27 Teddy Stoldt '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 Peter Herlihy '29 Scarlett Harris '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 Benjamin Smith '26 Abigail Chang '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 5 Alexa Shea '26 Alexis Tamm '26
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 6 Lucy Jervis '27 Marion Snideman '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 Conrad Cook '29 Clare Daniels '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 8 Owen Kohut '29 [1-2]
Emily Doble '28 [3-4]		 Vaughn Slatoff '26 [1]
Lia Nafe '29 [2-4]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 9 Thomas Daniels '26 Addi Harris '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 Ben Mueller '26 [1-2]
Oliver Keeves '28 [3-4]		 Kate Castleberry '28 [1-2]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 Pearse Dowd '29 Sean Beaver '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 Hamilton Barclay '27 [1-2]
Kelly Holthus '27 [3-4]		 Taylor Bartell '28 [1-2]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 Christian Ebbin '28 [1-2]
Tate Christopher '29 [3-4]		 Sabrina Anderson '28 [1-2]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [1-2]
Ryan Ehnot '26 [3-4]		 Ryan Ehnot '26 [1-2]
Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/17/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1018.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From NW (311°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1018.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Georgetown: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.14 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.19 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Georgetown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (27 labelled days at Georgetown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →