Sugar Bowl Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave 67
2 Tulane University Tulane University Riptide 106
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 117
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 130
5 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 131
6 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 217
7 Rice University Rice University Owls 223
8 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 249
9 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 300
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave B 1 1 3 3 4 2 2 4 3 23 Hamilton Barclay '27
Claire Lewis '27
Tulane University Tulane University Riptide A 2 5 4 1 6 3 5 2 11 39 Zander King '25
Alex Makoid '25
Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave A 8 9 2 2 1 1 3 6 12 44 Kelly Holthus '27
Parker Kumler '27
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 10 2 1 8 8 7 12 1 1 50 Noah Zittrer '26
Chloe Hudgins '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 6 6 9 4 10 4 10 5 4 58 Patrick Igoe '26
Rori Bywater '25
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 5 10 5 5 3 5 9 10 8 60 Thad Lettsome '24
Hope Breslin '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 7 12 13 9 2 6 6 3 9 67 Grace Squires '24
Aidan Iaconis '26
Tulane University Tulane University Riptide B 12 4 6 7 5 11 4 13 5 67 Matheo Graham-Capasso '26 [1-7]
Jack Solmo '25 [8-9]
Abigail Borggaard '24 [1-7]
Caroline Caudron '27 [8-9]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 3 8 10 11 9 13 1 14 2 71 John Wood '26
Gillian Perrell '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 9 3 7 10 13 9 7 7 7 72 Owen Bannasch '26
Kayla Putzke '24
Rice University Rice University Owls A 4 7 11 12 14 10 8 8 10 84 Ricky Miller '26
Aidan Murphy '25
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 16 11 8 6 7 RAF 11 11 14 103 Charlie Herrick '26
Paige Kurtenbach '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns A 14 13 15 14 11 8 13 9 13 110 Ethan Froelich '24
Sophia Herrada '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 11 17 12 16 12 14 14 12 6 114 Jacqueline Ruggieri '27 [1-4]
Seamus Hendrickson '25 [5-9]
Ryan Tatelbaum '25 [1-4]
Teddy Winters '26 [5-9]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns B 13 14 18 13 18 17 16 15 15 139 Reese Zebrowski '26 [1-4]
Oliver Fenner '26 [5-9]
Delilah D'Souza '24 [1-4]
Rohit Rajan '26 [5]
Dennis Kostjuhin '27 [6-9]
Rice University Rice University Owls B 15 15 14 15 16 15 15 16 18 139 Arthur Unger '25 [1-5]
Leo Marek '26 [6-9]
Leo Marek '26 [1-5]
Arthur Unger '25 [6-9]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies B 18 18 16 17 15 12 17 17 16 146 Ethan Polsen '27 [1-4]
Zachary Aronson '27 [5-9]
William Tebrake '27 [1-9]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies A 17 16 17 18 17 16 18 18 17 154 Jacob Granberry '26
Brett Pearson '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins22111818171716
Rice UniversityRice University Owls334455667
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns887766554
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies4433221118
Tulane UniversityTulane University Angry Wave665544332
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave556677889
Tulane UniversityTulane University Riptide778899101011
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers9910101111121213

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars10109988776
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins111112121313141415
Rice UniversityRice University Owls121211111010998
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns1717181811223
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies131314141515161617
Tulane UniversityTulane University Angry Wave15151616171718181
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave141413131212111110
Tulane UniversityTulane University Riptide161615151414131312
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers181817171616151514

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NNW (340°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.20 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →