Texas A&M University at Galveston '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.09 (fleet 1.48) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 11–12 (48%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 1–4 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–3 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 9–5 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (21 matches) the record is 10–11 against 8.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | SEISA Open Team Race Conference Championship | skipper | 1.23 | -1.77 | 0–3 | 0.0 | ≤−3.00 | 0.0 | >99% |
| 2025-04-05 | SEISA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.81 | 1.73 | 1–3 | 0.6 | +0.92 | 0.3 | 56% |
| 2024-04-06 | SEISA Open Team Racing Championship | skipper | 0.60 | 2.29 | 5–3 | 3.4 | +1.69 | 1.9 | 13% |
| 2024-02-03 | Q1 Regatta | skipper | 0.50 | 0.23 | 4–2 | 4.2 | −0.27 | 0.0 | 81% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Emma B. Memorial Regatta 2026 | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.0 | 1.77 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Open Team Race Conference Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| McCarthy Cup | Skipper | TR | 6 | 33% | — |
| Harris Kempner | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.8 | 1.20 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Troy Swetnam Memorial Regatta 2025 | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.5 | 0.00 |
| Kathryn Hammond | Skipper | B | 11 | 6.3 | -0.94 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SEISA Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 4 | 25% | — |
| SEISA Open Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.5 | 1.05 |
| Harris Kempner Memorial | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.5 | 1.00 |
| CCYC Spring Opener | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.5 | 0.67 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| CCYC Fall Open #2 | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.1 | 1.38 |
| Corpus Christi Fall Open #3 | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.0 | -0.07 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Spring Opener | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | -0.49 |
| SEISA Open Team Racing Championship | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| Q1 Regatta | Skipper | TR | 3 | 67% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sugar Bowl Open | Skipper | B | 4 | 17.2 | — |
| Kathryn Hammond Memorial | Skipper | B | 18 | 7.6 | -1.49 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Ethan Polsen |  Clear Falls High School |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
