CCYC Fall Open #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 28 12 40
2 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 17 30 47
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 21 29 50
4 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 34 36 70
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 52 50 102
6 Baylor University Baylor University Bears 58 58 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 1 1 3 1 1 1 3 1 2 3 17 Nicholas Carew '27 [1-10]
Justine Alvarado '25 [1-6]
Noah Aycock '26 [7-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 2 1 2 2 3 1 3 1 4 21 Ethan Polsen '27
Grace Mamaloukas '26
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 2 3 1 28 Jack Meyer '27
John Pixton '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 4 4 2 34 Rohit Rajan '26
Dennis Kostjuhin '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 5 6 5 52 Kennedy Long '26 [1-4]
Evelyn Dubois '27 [5-10]
Evelyn Dubois '27 [1-4]
Jeffrey Souto '27 [5-10]
Baylor University Baylor University Bears 6 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 5 6 58 Grant Stone '22 [1-6]
Claire Backer '25 [7-10]
Grace Trice '26 [1-4]
Madeline Glasper '26 [5-8]
Alexander Jones '25 [9-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 12 Brett Pearson '26
Luke Tezza '25
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 2 2 2 4 2 6 3 2 4 29 Macie Bettis '28 [1-6]
Isabella Mattison '25 [7-10]
Isabella Mattison '25 [1-6]
Macie Bettis '28 [7-10]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 3 3 5 5 1 4 2 2 4 1 30 Maddy Lee '27 [1-10]
Destini Sanchez-Warren '27 [1-6]
Jordan Wilcox '26 [7-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 4 4 3 3 3 5 4 4 3 3 36 Mark Carella '27 [1-6]
Connor Nihem '27 [7-10]
Connor Nihem '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Reema Nannapaneni '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Mark Carella '27 [9-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 6 6 4 4 5 3 3 5 DNS DNS 50 Berkeley Rhoads '25 [1-10]
Grace Williams '27 [1-2]
Isha Pokerna '25 [3-10]
Baylor University Baylor University Bears 5 5 6 DNS DNS DNS 5 6 5 5 58 Tyler Selkin '25 [1-10]
Madeline Glasper '26 [1-4]
Claire Backer '25 [5-8]
Grace Trice '26 [9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears1133445588
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns9911334455
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies3344558899
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders4455889911
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 15588991133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 28899113344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears1133445588
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns9911334455
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies3344558899
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders4455889911
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 15588991133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 28899113344
School / Team SkipperCrew
Baylor University Baylor University Grant Stone '22 [1-6]
Claire Backer '25 [7-10]
Grace Trice '26 [1-4]
Madeline Glasper '26 [5-8]
Alexander Jones '25 [9-10]
Bears Tyler Selkin '25 [1-10] Madeline Glasper '26 [1-4]
Claire Backer '25 [5-8]
Grace Trice '26 [9-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Kennedy Long '26 [1-4]
Evelyn Dubois '27 [5-10]
Evelyn Dubois '27 [1-4]
Jeffrey Souto '27 [5-10]
Aggies Berkeley Rhoads '25 [1-10] Grace Williams '27 [1-2]
Isha Pokerna '25 [3-10]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Nicholas Carew '27 [1-10] Justine Alvarado '25 [1-6]
Noah Aycock '26 [7-10]
Islanders Maddy Lee '27 [1-10] Destini Sanchez-Warren '27 [1-6]
Jordan Wilcox '26 [7-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Ethan Polsen '27 Grace Mamaloukas '26
Aggies 1 Macie Bettis '28 [1-6]
Isabella Mattison '25 [7-10]
Isabella Mattison '25 [1-6]
Macie Bettis '28 [7-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jack Meyer '27 John Pixton '27
Aggies 2 Brett Pearson '26 Luke Tezza '25
University of Texas University of Texas Rohit Rajan '26 Dennis Kostjuhin '27
Longhorns Mark Carella '27 [1-6]
Connor Nihem '27 [7-10]
Connor Nihem '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Reema Nannapaneni '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Mark Carella '27 [9-10]

Conditions — 10/19/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.5 kn
avg  ·  max 16.4 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1022.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 16 kn · NE 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Texas A&M C. Christ: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.20)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.36
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.65 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.20 means a rating gap counts about 18% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M C. Christ by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Texas A&M C. Christ, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →