Mark Carella

Rating History

Crew Rating

Career: 85.54 percentile of ICSA crews
1.001.251.501.752.002.252.50K. Lyon (10 races): +0.09K. LyonSpring 2025: rating 1.43Spring 2025University of TexasE. Cleaves (22 races): +0.98E. CleavesM. Martin (8 races): +0.20M. MartinFall 2025: rating 1.51Fall 2025University of TexasL. Downey (8 races): -0.06L. DowneySpring 2026: rating 1.10Spring 2026University of Texas
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Spring 2026 University of Texas 1.10 Rating 1.10; 90% range -1.8 to 4.0; team skipper average 0.87 50.17 62.50 2 of 4 8 Team page
Fall 2025 University of Texas 1.51 Rating 1.51; 90% range -1.5 to 4.5; team skipper average 0.62 54.11 70.00 2 of 5 30 Team page
Spring 2025 University of Texas 1.43 Rating 1.43; 90% range -1.7 to 4.6; team skipper average 0.71 52.22 81.25 2 of 8 10 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
0.07 (fleet 0.09) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) −0.00 ± 0.18
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 0–6 (0%)
as crew 2–3 (40%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202620–61–2
Spring 20251—1–1

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 2 graded regattas (9 matches) the record is 1–8 against 1.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-04-03SEISA Open Team Race Conference Championshipskipper0.21-2.790–60.1≤−3.000.1>99%
2026-01-31Q1 Regattacrew0.550.041–21.3−0.510.187%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
Lone Star Regatta Skipper A 2 6.0 —
Kathryn Hammond Skipper A 8 7.2 -3.29
Spring 2026 Team page Season
SEISA Open Team Race Conference Championship Skipper TR 9 0% —
SEISA Open Fleet Race Conference Championship Crew A 8 7.4 -0.06
Q1 Regatta Crew TR 3 33% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Troy Swetnam Memorial Regatta 2025 Crew B 10 3.3 +0.59
SEISA Fall Open Fleet Race Champs Crew A 12 7.1 +0.39
Lone Star Regatta Crew A 12 5.1 +0.20
Kathryn Hammond Skipper A 4 9.0 -2.10
Spring 2025 Team page Season
McCarthy Cup Crew TR 3 67% —
Harris Kempner Memorial Crew B 10 5.1 +0.09
CCYC Spring Opener Skipper A 8 5.8 0.18
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Kathryn Hammond Skipper B 13 14.2 —
CCYC Fall Open #2 Skipper B 8 3.5 -0.53
Baldwin Wood Skipper A 10 13.8 -1.08

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →