SEISA Open Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 12
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 42
3 Rice University Rice University Owls 60
4 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 60
5 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 67
6 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 80
7 Bears Bears Bears 120
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 2 1 2 1 6 Kelly Holthus '27 [1-4]
Sloane Mullin '27 [1-3]
Brady Starck '25 [4]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 1 2 1 2 6 Christian Ebbin '28
Ryan Ehnot '26
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns A 4 3 5 7 19 Matias Martin '27
Rohit Rajan '26
Rice University Rice University Owls A 3 4 9 5 21 Joe Slipper '28
Marc Rode '28
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies A 11 5 3 3 22 Ethan Polsen '27
Stetson Mcdonald '28
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns B 5 6 4 8 23 Lucas Tenrreiro '27
Dennis Kostjuhin '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B 9 7 7 4 27 Kate Hennig '26 [1]
Ryan Ingram '25 [2-4]
Drew Gourley '27 [1]
Kate Hennig '26 [2-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A 7 8 BKD 10 33 Zachary Aronson '27
Menya Bird '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders A 6 9 6 DNF 36 Nicholas Carew '27
Mandy Gergen '28
Rice University Rice University Owls B 8 11 11 9 39 Arthur Unger '25
Ben Chan '25
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders B DNF DNS 8 6 44 Maddy Lee '27
Destini Sanchez-Warren '27
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies B 10 10 10 DNF 45 Macie Bettis '28 [1-3]
Jack Meyer '27 [4]
Isabella Mattison '25 [1-3]
Caden Allensworth '28 [4]
Bears Bears Bears A DNS DNS DNS DNS 60
Bears Bears Bears B DNS DNS DNS DNS 60
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
BearsBears Bears10101010
Rice UniversityRice University Owls11111111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns7777
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies13131313
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders4444
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies16161616
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
BearsBears Bears18181818
Rice UniversityRice University Owls12121212
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns8888
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies14141414
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders5555
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies17171717
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave2222

Conditions — 04/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.6 kn
avg  ·  max 16.9 kn
Gusts to 35.4 kn
From SSE (168°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 17 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →