University of Wisconsin '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.51 (fleet 2.08) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–21 (12%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 3–21 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (24 matches) the record is 3–21 against 2.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-28 | ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 1.70 | -1.30 | 0–9 | 0.2 | ≤−3.00 | 0.3 | >99% |
| 2024-03-02 | ODU Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.50 | 2.13 | 3–12 | 1.9 | +0.63 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1B | Skipper | A | 12 | 16.2 | 1.63 |
| MCSA Open Fall Championship | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.5 | 2.35 |
| Great Lakes IOR - T10 Division Keelboat | Crew | A | 6 | 7.8 | — |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 17.5 | 2.34 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 1.5 | 2.98 |
| ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 0% | — |
| Eastern Women's National Semi-final Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 14.5 | 1.36 |
| Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 8 | 13.1 | 1.44 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Wisco Womens Women's | Skipper | A | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99 |
| Sugar Bowl Open | Skipper | B | 4 | 14.0 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.8 | — |
| CofC Fall Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 15 | 6.2 | 1.65 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Jacqueline Ruggieri |  Northeastern University |
'28 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
