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CofC Fall Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 183
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 201
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 207
4 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 262
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 285
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 302
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 349
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 384
9 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 392
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 1 2 2 9 3 4 1 3 4 5 3 6 16 5 2 66 Bella Shakespeare '27
Ashley Alfortish '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 17 3 5 1 2 3 4 6 13 1 1 8 2 10 3 79 Olivia Sowa '24
Abby Scudder '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 2 1 1 4 14 14 7 1 1 10 12 1 8 12 5 93 Jacqueline Ruggieri '27
Paige Kurtenbach '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 4 10 9 6 7 2 12 8 2 13 9 4 1 7 10 104 Isabella Du Plessis '25
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 12 7 4 7 1 5 3 18 12 2 8 9 9 1 8 106 Katie Nelson '24
Olivia Hanley '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 5 4 7 11 8 6 10 4 6 9 6 11 6 2 13 108 Marissa Tegeder '25
Ellena Frumiento '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 9 6 8 12 5 13 16 5 10 7 7 2 4 3 11 118 Laura Smith '26
Grace Keene '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 6 5 10 13 9 11 5 7 7 3 2 12 10 14 9 123 Agija Elerte '26
Nilias Vidarte '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 14 15 17 5 6 1 2 16 3 12 10 10 13 13 4 141 Rowan Schanley '24
Grace Beard '25
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 3 11 11 16 16 15 11 2 8 8 5 16 12 9 1 144 Grace Watlington '26
Ellie Mcfall '24
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 15 14 13 2 10 8 15 11 14 6 13 7 7 4 6 145 Annika Vanderhorst '27
Grace Jenkins '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 13 9 3 3 4 7 18 13 11 11 15 14 11 6 12 150 Arantxa Argibay '27 [1-15]
Laura Johnston '25 [1-6, 10-15]
Olivia Campmany '25 [7-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 11 18 6 10 13 12 9 15 17 4 16 3 5 8 7 154 Marina Dreyfuss '27
Madisen Hamai '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 10 12 12 8 18 9 8 9 16 17 4 5 3 16 15 162 Ella Bilow '26
Payton Ruth '26
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 16 16 15 14 12 10 6 12 5 14 14 13 14 17 18 196 Niah Ford '26
Tia Schoening '26
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 8 17 14 17 15 17 14 10 9 15 11 15 17 11 14 204 Katherine Mason '27
Caelan Mcmichael '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 7 8 16 18 17 18 17 14 18 16 18 17 15 15 16 230 Jordan Macmoyle '25
Aicha Smati '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 18 13 18 15 11 16 13 17 15 18 17 18 18 18 17 242 Sarah Schuringa '24 [1-12, 15]
Olivia Campmany '25 [13-14]
Cora Johnson '27 [1-12, 15]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222333444555666
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains111222333444555
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333444555666777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444555666777888
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners666777888999101010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes777888999101010111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555666777888999
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls888999101010111111121212
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers999101010111111121212131313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111111121212131313141414151515
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains101010111111121212131313141414
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles121212131313141414151515161616
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins131313141414151515161616171717
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners151515161616171717181818111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes161616171717181818111222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack141414151515161616171717181818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171717181818111222333
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers181818111222333444

Conditions — 10/07/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1010.8 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From NW (315°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover28% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1010.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn · NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →