University of Wisconsin '27
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 98.38 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.082 rating points from 278 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →Includes linked high school and college seasons.
| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 | University of Wisconsin | 3.39 | 87.49 | 87.50 | 1 of 4 | 17 | Team page | |
| Spring 2026 | University of Wisconsin | 3.31 | 87.69 | 83.33 | 1 of 3 | 28 | Team page | |
| Fall 2025 | University of Wisconsin | 3.72 | 91.54 | 96.67 | 1 of 15 | 34 | Team page | |
| Spring 2025 | University of Wisconsin | 4.05 | 91.68 | 91.67 | 1 of 6 | 39 | Team page | |
| Fall 2024 | University of Wisconsin | 3.99 | 92.43 | 97.37 | 1 of 19 | 32 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | University of Wisconsin | 4.03 | 91.20 | 83.33 | 3 of 15 | 37 | Team page | |
| Spring 2023 | Wayzata High School | 2.67 | 73.30 | 91.67 | 1 of 6 | 15 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.68 (fleet 0.95) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 12–23 (34%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | — | 9–11 |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | — | 3–12 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (35 matches) the record is 12–23 against 10.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.3). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | MCSA Open Team Race Qualifier | crew | 2.15 | 0.56 | 6–4 | 8.1 | −1.58 | 2.4 | 99% |
| 2026-03-21 | Big 10 Team Race | crew | -0.56 | 1.29 | 3–7 | 0.7 | +1.86 | 3.6 | 3% |
| 2024-03-02 | ODU Women's Team Race | crew | 1.50 | 2.13 | 3–12 | 1.9 | +0.63 | 0.5 | 29% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Wisco Women's Women's | Crew | A | 7 | 2.0 | +0.10 |
| Fall Fury | Crew | B | 10 | 2.8 | +0.40 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Western National Semis | Crew | A | 7 | 14.4 | +0.16 |
| MCSA Open Team Race Qualifier | Crew | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| MCSA Open Fleet Race Qualifier | Crew | A | 11 | 3.0 | +0.19 |
| Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 | Crew | A | 10 | 10.9 | -0.25 |
| Big 10 Team Race | Crew | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament Finals | Crew | A | 14 | 11.6 | +0.26 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1B | Crew | A | 8 | 11.5 | +0.20 |
| Moody Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 13.0 | -0.15 |
| Fall Fury | Crew | B | 4 | 2.5 | +0.07 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Eastern National Semi Finals Women's | Crew | A | 9 | 14.3 | -0.23 |
| Open Western Semi Finals | Crew | B | 8 | 14.0 | +0.11 |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Crew | A | 12 | 1.6 | +0.15 |
| MCSA Open Fleet Race Championship | Crew | B | 10 | 1.7 | +0.38 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Crew | A | 13 | 8.4 | -0.03 |
| Wisco Womens Women's | Crew | A | 7 | 2.7 | +0.02 |
| Fall Fury | Crew | A | 12 | 2.7 | +0.31 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Crew | A | 2 | 1.5 | +0.03 |
| 2024 J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Crew | A | 14 | 4.6 | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sugar Bowl Open | Crew | A | 8 | 10.5 | -0.00 |
| Emma B. Regatta 2023 | Crew | A | 6 | 1.8 | +0.23 |
| CofC Fall Women's Women's | Crew | B | 15 | 6.2 | +0.53 |
| MCSA Open Fall Championship | Crew | B | 8 | 8.0 | -0.41 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Paige Kurtenbach |  Wayzata High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Paige Kurtenbach |  Benilde St Margarets |
'23 |
| ISSA | Paige Kurtenbach |  Orono High School |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
