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Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1B

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 29 28 57
2 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 22 44 66
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 54 31 85
4 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 58 49 107
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 58 51 109
6 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 50 60 110
7 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 58 65 123
8 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 80 58 138
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 83 76 159
10 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 94 67 161
11 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 73 LOP 106 LOP 179 LOP
12 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 111 69 180
13 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 102 91 193
14 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 96 104 200
15 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 112 103 215
16 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 92 135 227
17 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 109 124 233
18 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 107 127 234
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 1 1 5 1 3 3 7 22 Justin Callahan '26
Jacob Posner '29
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 7 2 9 2 1 2 2 29 Guthrie Braun '26
Vera Allen '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 9 4 7 9 2 7 9 50 Nathan Smith '26
Ellie Alex '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 15 5 3 11 4 6 6 4 54 Noah Zittrer '26
Andrea Melnik '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 8 9 1 3 12 15 8 58 Bradley Whiteway '26
Charles Pohl '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 6 6 4 7 11 4 13 58 Peter Busch '26
Caroline Sibilly '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 4 13 6 12 4 5 3 58 Nathan Jensen '27
Brooke Bertrand '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 3 12 10 6 10 1 1 73 LOP Henry Boeger '25
Kayla Spalding '28
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 16 17 7 3 14 7 10 6 80 Kelly Holthus '27
Jonah Wozniak '29
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 13 11 18 8 14 9 5 83 Michelangelo Vecchio '27
Isabelle Tsuchitori '26
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 6 10 8 15 16 5 18 14 92 Abe Weston '25
Paige Kurtenbach '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 18 12 5 12 10 13 14 10 94 Ben Mueller '26 [1-6]
Wyatt Bischoff '27 [7-8]
Kate Castleberry '28 [1-6]
Margaret Klein '26 [7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 17 15 16 2 5 15 11 15 96 Zachariah Schemel '25
Ruth Bergman '28
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 18 18 17 11 9 8 12 102 Lucas Thress '26
Ashley Abboud '26
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 2 10 13 18 16 17 17 107 Tyler Brown '26 [1-8]
Chloe Anderson '29 [1-3]
Kiara-Lee Wright '27 [4-8]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 12 14 14 14 13 8 16 18 109 Peter Foley '26
Olivia Figley '26
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 13 11 17 8 15 18 13 16 111 Everett Botwinick '26
Jack Prior '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 16 15 16 17 17 12 11 112 Diogo Silva '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Blake Goodwin '27 [5-6]
Lindsey Kaufmann '26 [1-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 5 5 4 3 1 4 5 28 Blake Behrens '27
Caroline Keeffe-Jones '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 7 6 1 9 1 4 1 2 31 Benjamin Dufour '26
Clara Murphy '27
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 10 4 5 2 7 7 1 44 Mitchell Callahan '26
Rosella Irfan '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 11 13 6 5 3 2 4 49 Landon Cormie '27
Emily Shioutakon '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles 10 13 7 3 4 2 5 7 51 Jack Redmond '26
Lanie Ferrarone '28
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 4 15 1 12 9 9 6 58 Christian Ebbin '28
Sabrina Anderson '28
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 7 9 10 7 11 10 3 60 Henry Allgeier '27 [1-3]
Jack Welburn '26 [4-8]
Fiona Cullen '27 [1-3]
Darby Graham '26 [4-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 15 3 7 9 6 8 13 65 Luke Zylinski '26
Grace Austin '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 13 3 2 11 14 5 11 8 67 Oliver Keeves '28
Reddin Kehrli '27
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 9 1 6 8 8 17 6 14 69 Calvin Schmid '26
Walter Wolfe '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 14 14 8 2 6 8 12 12 76 Ethan Danielson '26 [1-2]
Kyra Phelan '26 [3-8]
Elizabeth Wire '28 [1-2]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 11 2 10 18 10 14 17 9 91 Patrick Shachoy '28
Andalucia Pilcher '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 12 8 12 14 17 12 13 15 103 Pierce Brindley '28
Madison Bivins '29
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 17 9 11 12 15 16 14 10 104 Efe Guder '28
Macy Parke '28
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 16 14 15 11 10 3 11 106 LOP Jonathan Seawards '26
Avalon Everett '27
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 16 12 16 13 16 18 16 17 124 Carter Weatherilt '28
Suzie Nguyen '29
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 15 17 17 17 13 15 15 18 127 Ivet Bejar '29 [1-8]
Kiara-Lee Wright '27 [1-3]
Chloe Anderson '29 [4-8]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 18 18 18 16 18 13 18 16 135 Nigel Yu '27
Max Blake '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223344
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221118181717
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33445566
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332211
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313141415151616
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles55667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66554433
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates7788991010
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88776655
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616151514141313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave12121111101099
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1515161617171818
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818171716161515
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers171718181122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11223344
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears221118181717
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33445566
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44332211
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1313141415151616
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles55667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66554433
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates7788991010
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88776655
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99101011111212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1616151514141313
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave12121111101099
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1515161617171818
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818171716161515
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers171718181122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Peter Busch '26 Caroline Sibilly '26
Eagles Jack Redmond '26 Lanie Ferrarone '28
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michelangelo Vecchio '27 Isabelle Tsuchitori '26
Polar Bears Ethan Danielson '26 [1-2]
Kyra Phelan '26 [3-8]		 Elizabeth Wire '28 [1-2]
Brown University Brown University Guthrie Braun '26 Vera Allen '27
Bears Blake Behrens '27 Caroline Keeffe-Jones '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Noah Zittrer '26 Andrea Melnik '27
Cougars Benjamin Dufour '26 Clara Murphy '27
Florida State University Florida State University Peter Foley '26 Olivia Figley '26
Seminoles Carter Weatherilt '28 Suzie Nguyen '29
Fordham University Fordham University Lucas Thress '26 Ashley Abboud '26
Rams Patrick Shachoy '28 Andalucia Pilcher '28
Hampton University Hampton University Tyler Brown '26 [1-8] Chloe Anderson '29 [1-3]
Kiara-Lee Wright '27 [4-8]
Pirates Ivet Bejar '29 [1-8] Kiara-Lee Wright '27 [1-3]
Chloe Anderson '29 [4-8]
Harvard University Harvard University Justin Callahan '26 Jacob Posner '29
Crimson Mitchell Callahan '26 Rosella Irfan '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Diogo Silva '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Blake Goodwin '27 [5-6]		 Lindsey Kaufmann '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Monarchs Pierce Brindley '28 Madison Bivins '29
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Nathan Jensen '27 Brooke Bertrand '26
Seahawks Landon Cormie '27 Emily Shioutakon '26
Tufts University Tufts University Ben Mueller '26 [1-6]
Wyatt Bischoff '27 [7-8]		 Kate Castleberry '28 [1-6]
Margaret Klein '26 [7-8]
Jumbos Oliver Keeves '28 Reddin Kehrli '27
Tulane University Tulane University Kelly Holthus '27 Jonah Wozniak '29
Green Wave Christian Ebbin '28 Sabrina Anderson '28
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Whiteway '26 Charles Pohl '26
Bears Luke Zylinski '26 Grace Austin '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Nathan Smith '26 Ellie Alex '26
Midshipmen Henry Allgeier '27 [1-3]
Jack Welburn '26 [4-8]		 Fiona Cullen '27 [1-3]
Darby Graham '26 [4-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Henry Boeger '25 Kayla Spalding '28
Gauchos Jonathan Seawards '26 Avalon Everett '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Zachariah Schemel '25 Ruth Bergman '28
Bulls Efe Guder '28 Macy Parke '28
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Abe Weston '25 Paige Kurtenbach '27
Badgers Nigel Yu '27 Max Blake '28
Webb Institute Webb Institute Everett Botwinick '26 Jack Prior '27
Clippers Calvin Schmid '26 Walter Wolfe '26

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1021.9 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1021.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Coast Guard: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.20 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.33
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Coast Guard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (57 labelled days at Coast Guard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →