MCSA Open Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 37 17 54
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 35 38 73
3 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 46 35 81
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 37 45 82
5 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 44 53 97
6 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 67 47 114
7 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 64 72 136
8 Washington University Washington University Bears 65 80 145
9 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 75 75 150
10 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 82 92 174
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 1 2 7 1 2 3 6 5 2 35 Braden Vogel '27 [1-10]
Alden Gort '26 [1-8]
Nina Gonzalez '27 [9-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 2 4 3 5 6 2 3 8 3 37 Jake Weinstein '27 [1-10]
Herbert Single '27 [1-8]
Cora Star '26 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 9 1 1 9 7 1 1 1 5 37 Abe Weston '25 [1-10]
Carter Harms '27 [1-8]
Kerstin Hyer '25 [9-10]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 3 3 5 6 3 8 7 2 3 4 44 Greg Bittle '25
Lily Lupardus '27
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 4 4 8 5 7 4 6 5 2 1 46 Timothy Hesse '27 [1-10]
Kate Norman '26 [1-2, 5-8]
John Sullivan '26 [3-4]
Aidan Kiergan '27 [9-10]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 5 5 3 8 8 9 4 4 9 9 64 Max Naseef '28
Lucas Ribeiro '27
Washington University Washington University Bears 7 6 10 4 6 1 10 8 7 6 65 Wyatt Tait '27
Yuxin Mou '25
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers DSQ DNS 6 2 4 5 9 7 4 8 67 Sam Childers '27 [1-10]
Hadley Zeller '26 [1-2, 9-10]
Annette Wadley '26 [3-8]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 9 8 7 10 10 3 5 10 6 7 75 Hayden Johansen '27
Drake Mayer '26
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 7 9 9 2 10 8 9 10 10 82 Eli Erling '26
Stella Brown '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 2 3 17 Quinn Kaiser '26
Paige Kurtenbach '27
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5 3 3 7 2 3 6 1 4 1 35 Payden Pittman '28 [1-10]
Joseph Opferman '27 [1-2]
Jack O'Connor '26 [3-4, 7-10]
John Sullivan '26 [5-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 2 2 5 3 2 5 6 5 5 38 Jack Homa '27 [1-10]
Ben Visco '28 [1-6]
Abigail Paul '25 [7-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 4 4 3 4 DNF 1 RDG 7 4 45 Nicholas Chesemore '27
Samantha Forgosh '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 6 8 6 6 5 6 4 3 1 2 47 Nok In Chan '25 [1-10]
Nathanael Green '28 [1-4]
Max Liu '26 [5-6]
Mathis Destouches '25 [7-10]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 4 5 7 2 9 7 2 4 6 7 53 Rakesh Dhiman '26 [1-10]
Leila Montoya '28 [1-2, 6-10]
Naomi Peters '26 [3-5]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 9 9 5 8 8 4 7 8 3 DSQ 72 James Klancnik '28 [1-6]
Carlos Sole '27 [7-10]
Iris Badezet Delory '27 [1-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 7 6 9 4 6 8 8 10 9 8 75 Isaac Sparber '26
Fergus Munro '26
Washington University Washington University Bears DNF 7 DNF DNS 7 5 9 5 8 6 80 Jacob Hsia '26 [1-10]
Kate Rusin '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Greta Mueller '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 8 10 8 9 10 9 10 9 10 9 92 John Riordan '26
Eva Paschke '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons101012121414161688
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles7799111113131515
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines111113131515771717
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers121214141616881010
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats881010121214141616
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish131315157717171111
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers9911111313151577
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies141416168810101212
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears161688101012121414
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers151577171711111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons111113131515771717
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles881010121214141616
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines121214141616881010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers131315157717171111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats9911111313151577
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish141416168810101212
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers101012121414161688
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies151577171711111313
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears7799111113131515
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers161688101012121414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Eli Erling '26 Stella Brown '27
Golden Eagles John Riordan '26 Eva Paschke '25
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jake Weinstein '27 [1-10] Herbert Single '27 [1-8]
Cora Star '26 [9-10]
Wildcats Nicholas Chesemore '27 Samantha Forgosh '26
Purdue University Purdue University Sam Childers '27 [1-10] Hadley Zeller '26 [1-2, 9-10]
Annette Wadley '26 [3-8]
Boilermakers Nok In Chan '25 [1-10] Nathanael Green '28 [1-4]
Max Liu '26 [5-6]
Mathis Destouches '25 [7-10]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Max Naseef '28 Lucas Ribeiro '27
Maroons James Klancnik '28 [1-6]
Carlos Sole '27 [7-10]
Iris Badezet Delory '27 [1-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Braden Vogel '27 [1-10] Alden Gort '26 [1-8]
Nina Gonzalez '27 [9-10]
Wolverines Jack Homa '27 [1-10] Ben Visco '28 [1-6]
Abigail Paul '25 [7-10]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Hayden Johansen '27 Drake Mayer '26
Gophers Isaac Sparber '26 Fergus Munro '26
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Timothy Hesse '27 [1-10] Kate Norman '26 [1-2, 5-8]
John Sullivan '26 [3-4]
Aidan Kiergan '27 [9-10]
Fighting Irish Payden Pittman '28 [1-10] Joseph Opferman '27 [1-2]
Jack O'Connor '26 [3-4, 7-10]
John Sullivan '26 [5-6]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Greg Bittle '25 Lily Lupardus '27
Tommies Rakesh Dhiman '26 [1-10] Leila Montoya '28 [1-2, 6-10]
Naomi Peters '26 [3-5]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Abe Weston '25 [1-10] Carter Harms '27 [1-8]
Kerstin Hyer '25 [9-10]
Badgers Quinn Kaiser '26 Paige Kurtenbach '27
Washington University Washington University Wyatt Tait '27 Yuxin Mou '25
Bears Jacob Hsia '26 [1-10] Kate Rusin '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Greta Mueller '28 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 04/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1026.8 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 41°F   ↓ 31°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 25.1 kn
From NW (314°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1026.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saint Thomas: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saint Thomas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Saint Thomas: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →