Emma B. Regatta 2023

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 11 17 28
2 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 21 16 37
3 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 36 21 57
4 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 17 54 71
5 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 36 36 72
6 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 44 33 77
7 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 44 51 95
8 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 54 41 95
9 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 64 36 100
10 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 60 48 108
11 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 47 65 112
12 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 62 56 118
13 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 50 73 123
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 1 2 1 1 3 11 Seamus Hendrickson '25
Paige Kurtenbach '27
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 1 6 3 3 2 2 17 Arden Carleton '26
Alya Macmanaway '26
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 5 1 2 6 5 21 Andrew Michels '25
Fritz Jaeger '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 4 8 4 4 9 7 36 Jack Miller '26
Mila Straskraba '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 10 2 8 5 5 6 36 Mason Shaw '26 [1-6]
Benjamin Conrad '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Quinn Schwarz '25 [3-4]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 5 3 13 7 8 8 44 Domenico Sacchetti '27
Molly Sheridan '25
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 11 12 5 11 4 1 44 Iain Mcsweeney '25
Kassidy Kennedy '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 7 4 7 12 7 10 47 Joseph Mowrey '25 [1-6]
Kailyn Merkle '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Silas Hokanson '26 [3-4]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 12 13 10 8 3 4 50 Jenna Kozal '24 [1-6]
Caroline Bielski '24 [1-2]
Eva Paschke '25 [3-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 9 11 6 6 13 9 54 Juhi Desai '25
William Beckman '25
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 13 7 9 9 10 12 60 Keegan Aerts '25
Megan Rakoczy '25
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 10 11 10 12 13 62 Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-2]
Jack Bergman '24 [3-4]
Kent Colbrunn '24 [5-6]
Jack Rutherford '25 [1-2]
Laura Prince '24 [3-4]
Matthew Daub '27 [5-6]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 8 9 12 13 11 11 64 Carly Irwin '25 [1-6]
Gabriella Thomas '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Reid Kwiatkowski '26 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 1 2 8 2 2 16 Lucas Rodenroth '27 [1-6]
Sophia Jaeger '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Proulx '27 [3-4]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 2 1 1 1 10 17 Nigel Yu '27
Carter Harms '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 5 3 7 2 3 1 21 Emily Williams '25 [1-6]
Emma Leidheiser '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Suter '25 [3-4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 4 7 3 6 9 4 33 Mansvi Soni '27
Alex Schlotterer '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 4 4 9 8 5 36 Joey Skerbeck '27
Kate Crannell '24
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 8 5 9 7 4 3 36 Garrett Szlachta '25 [1-6]
Bryce Koopman '24 [1-2]
Lauren Bradford '24 [3-4]
Reed Rossell '25 [5-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 9 8 6 4 6 8 41 Ian Knox '24 [1-6]
Anna Nappi '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Anen Ricketts '27 [3-4]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 9 11 12 7 6 48 Jack Charlton '27
William O'Haver '27
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 7 10 8 3 11 12 51 Chris Li '25
Roberta Kuliesiute '27
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 11 6 DNF 11 5 7 54 Matthew Scanlon '25
Henry Lennington '26
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 13 12 5 5 12 9 56 Natalie Glover '25 [1-2]
Caroline Henry '27 [3-4]
Connor Bricco '26 [5-6]
Madison Servini '27 [1-2]
Anna Olsen '27 [3-6]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 10 11 10 13 10 11 65 Lily Rouget '26 [1-6]
Grace Rexroth '26 [1-2]
Henrik Stjernfeldt '27 [3-6]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 12 13 12 10 13 13 73 Luqman Waheeduddin '24
Jacob Millman '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers113355
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers224466
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen335577
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1010121211
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers446688
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles557799
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans66881010
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One77991111
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes8810101212
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers9911111313
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets1111131322
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos13132244
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers12121133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers224466
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers335577
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen446688
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1111131322
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers557799
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles66881010
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans77991111
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One8810101212
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes9911111313
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers1010121211
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets12121133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos113355
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers13132244
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Carly Irwin '25 [1-6] Gabriella Thomas '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Reid Kwiatkowski '26 [3-4]
Lakers Garrett Szlachta '25 [1-6] Bryce Koopman '24 [1-2]
Lauren Bradford '24 [3-4]
Reed Rossell '25 [5-6]
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Arden Carleton '26 Alya Macmanaway '26
Chargers Matthew Scanlon '25 Henry Lennington '26
Hope College Hope College Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-2]
Jack Bergman '24 [3-4]
Kent Colbrunn '24 [5-6]
Jack Rutherford '25 [1-2]
Laura Prince '24 [3-4]
Matthew Daub '27 [5-6]
Flying Dutchmen Natalie Glover '25 [1-2]
Caroline Henry '27 [3-4]
Connor Bricco '26 [5-6]
Madison Servini '27 [1-2]
Anna Olsen '27 [3-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Juhi Desai '25 William Beckman '25
Hoosiers Ian Knox '24 [1-6] Anna Nappi '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Anen Ricketts '27 [3-4]
Marquette University Marquette University Jenna Kozal '24 [1-6] Caroline Bielski '24 [1-2]
Eva Paschke '25 [3-6]
Golden Eagles Luqman Waheeduddin '24 Jacob Millman '26
Michigan State University Michigan State University Jack Miller '26 Mila Straskraba '25
Spartans Joey Skerbeck '27 Kate Crannell '24
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Andrew Michels '25 Fritz Jaeger '25
Husky One Lucas Rodenroth '27 [1-6] Sophia Jaeger '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Proulx '27 [3-4]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Mason Shaw '26 [1-6] Benjamin Conrad '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Quinn Schwarz '25 [3-4]
Buckeyes Emily Williams '25 [1-6] Emma Leidheiser '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Jacob Suter '25 [3-4]
Purdue University Purdue University Joseph Mowrey '25 [1-6] Kailyn Merkle '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Silas Hokanson '26 [3-4]
Boilermakers Lily Rouget '26 [1-6] Grace Rexroth '26 [1-2]
Henrik Stjernfeldt '27 [3-6]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Domenico Sacchetti '27 Molly Sheridan '25
Illini Chris Li '25 Roberta Kuliesiute '27
University of Toledo University of Toledo Iain Mcsweeney '25 Kassidy Kennedy '26
Rockets Mansvi Soni '27 Alex Schlotterer '25
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Seamus Hendrickson '25 Paige Kurtenbach '27
Badgers Nigel Yu '27 Carter Harms '27
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Keegan Aerts '25 Megan Rakoczy '25
Broncos Jack Charlton '27 William O'Haver '27

Conditions — 10/14/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1011.4 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From NE (40°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine1.6 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1011.4 hPa Rain0.17 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn* · NE 13 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hope: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hope by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Hope, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →