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Allstate Sugar Bowl Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 145
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 170
3 Tulane University Tulane University Riptide 179
4 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 190
5 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 231
6 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 271
7 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 345
8 Rice University Rice University Owls 408
9 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 459
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Riptide B 4 10 10 10 4 1 2 4 5 1 2 7 1 3 64 Zander King '25 [1-4]
Christian Ebbin '28 [5-14]
Mary Carter '28 [1-4]
Sabrina Anderson '28 [5-14]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 3 2 8 1 3 5 1 2 11 5 6 6 12 2 67 Kelly Holthus '27 [1-14]
Helena English '28 [1-11]
Caitlin Briggs '27 [12-14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 7 8 4 3 2 3 7 1 3 2 3 3 DSQ 5 70 Bella Shakespeare '27
Clara Murphy '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 6 6 9 2 1 2 8 6 1 14 8 2 6 7 78 John Wood '26
Alex Makoid '25
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal B 5 9 2 11 11 4 4 7 10 12 5 1 2 6 89 Thomas Whidden '28
Abby Baird '28
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 1 1 1 7 7 8 3 3 4 OCS 13 8 8 10 93 Peter Foley '26 [1-14]
Brady Parks '25 [1-8]
Niah Ford '26 [9-14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 10 11 12 5 5 9 5 11 9 4 1 4 5 9 100 Emma Tallman '25
Lucy Zinn '28
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal A 2 5 3 OCS 15 6 9 5 2 7 9 12 3 4 101 Dylan Sih '28
Ashtyn Tierney '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 13 4 5 8 6 7 11 8 8 8 11 9 4 1 103 Cole Schweda '27
Kayla Putzke '24
Tulane University Tulane University Riptide A 9 7 13 6 13 11 6 10 7 3 7 5 10 8 115 Matheo Graham-Capasso '26
Essie Clifton '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 8 3 7 4 14 10 10 9 13 6 15 13 14 12 138 Carter Weatherilt '28
Avery Harris '25
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 12 12 15 14 12 12 12 12 6 11 4 10 9 13 154 Charlie Herrick '26 [1-4, 9-14]
William Styslinger '28 [5-8]
Kerstin Hyer '25 [1-4, 9-14]
Jenna Princing '28 [5-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 15 14 6 9 8 16 16 17 12 9 10 15 7 14 168 Hank Seum '27
Taylor Collison '28
Rice University Rice University Owls A 17 15 17 12 9 13 13 14 15 10 12 11 11 11 180 Ricky Miller '26
Aidan Murphy '25
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 11 16 14 13 10 14 14 15 14 13 14 14 13 16 191 Penelope Whiteside '28
Carter Harms '27
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies B 16 17 18 16 16 15 15 13 17 16 17 16 15 15 222 Sydney Krahulik '27
Menya Bird '26
Rice University Rice University Owls B 14 13 11 17 17 18 17 16 18 15 18 18 17 DNS 228 Joe Slipper '28 [1-9]
Arthur Unger '25 [10-14]
Leo Marek '26 [1-9]
Taylor Griffeth '25 [10-14]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies A 18 18 16 15 18 17 18 18 16 17 16 17 16 17 237 Zachary Aronson '27
Evelyn Dubois '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11223344556677
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles221118181717161615151414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33445566778899
Rice UniversityRice University Owls44332211181817171616
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal556677889910101111
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies6655443322111818
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave7788991010111112121313
Tulane UniversityTulane University Riptide88776655443322
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers99101011111212131314141515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1010998877665544
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles1111121213131414151516161717
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins12121111101099887766
Rice UniversityRice University Owls13131414151516161717181811
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal141413131212111110109988
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1515161617171818112233
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1616151514141313121211111010
Tulane UniversityTulane University Riptide171718181122334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1818171716161515141413131212

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1013.3 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 81°F
Feels like 93°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From E (80°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1013.3 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · E 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.09 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →