University of Wisconsin '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20 (fleet 1.70) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–13 (7%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–13 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 1–13 against 1.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | ODU Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.08 | 0.27 | 1–13 | 1.7 | −0.81 | 0.4 | 90% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A | Skipper | B | 14 | 14.9 | 0.81 |
| Fall Fury | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.5 | 3.45 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.0 | 1.57 |
| Wisco Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 1.6 | 2.94 |
| MCSA Fall Championship | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.0 | 1.46 |
| Allstate Sugar Bowl (Women's) Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.4 | -0.93 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| ODU Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 14 | 7% | — |
| NU Spring | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.9 | 1.29 |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 5.5 | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 15.0 | 0.47 |
| Wisco Womens Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.9 | 1.42 |
| Allstate Sugar Bowl Open | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.6 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.8 | -1.28 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Penelope Whiteside |  Kettle Moraine High School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
