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Allstate Sugar Bowl (Women's)

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 201
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 221
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 301
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 444
5 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 515
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal C 4 6 2 3 4 3 4 3 8 3 2 4 7 2 55 Samara Walshe '29
Kit Harned '27
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 10 2 4 7 5 5 6 2 5 2 1 2 6 1 58 Ava Anderson '27
Ella May Corckran '26
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal A 1 4 1 6 1 1 2 6 6 1 8 RAF 2 7 62 Sophie Fisher '26
Ashtyn Tierney '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 2 5 3 10 8 6 1 5 9 4 10 1 13 4 81 Kailey Warrior '27
Madisen Hamai '26
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave C 6 3 5 1 2 14 10 7 12 5 3 3 4 6 81 Gabriela Vassel '28
Skye Terrell '29
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 5 7 10 2 10 2 9 1 2 8 7 5 3 11 82 Oakley Cunningham '27 [1-8]
Lola Kohl '28 [9-14]
Caroline Caudron '27 [1-8]
Sabrina Casagrande '29 [9-14]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal B 3 1 8 4 3 7 3 8 4 10 RAF 6 1 10 84 Alice Schmid '27
Shay Wood '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 7 10 12 14 6 12 11 4 3 6 6 8 8 3 110 Ghislaine Van Empel '27
Catherine Brennan '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls C 9 8 6 5 13 4 13 10 1 7 5 11 9 9 110 Grace Jones '28
Melissa Janes '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 8 11 13 12 12 9 5 9 7 9 9 10 10 8 132 Kaitlyn Liebel '26
Frances Hanson '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 12 9 7 13 11 13 14 14 14 11 13 13 5 5 154 Fiona Froelich '28
Amelia Sulciner '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins C 11 13 11 8 14 11 7 12 10 15 11 9 11 15 158 Cheyenne Dooley '28
Kaitlyn Anderson '29
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 14 14 15 11 9 8 15 13 13 12 4 7 12 12 159 Penelope Whiteside '28
Jenna Princing '28
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers C 13 12 14 9 7 10 8 15 11 13 14 14 14 14 168 Claudia Kroll '29
Lauren Salmi '26
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 15 15 9 15 15 15 12 11 15 14 12 12 15 13 188 Phoebe Milhollin '28
Carmen Lineer '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins11223344556677
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls44332211161615151414
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal221116161515141413131212
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave33445566778899
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers556677889910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins6655443322111616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls99101011111212131314141515
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal7788991010111112121313
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave88776655443322
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1010998877665544

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C11C12C13C14C
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins11111212131314141515161611
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls141413131212111110109988
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal12121111101099887766
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1313141415151616112233
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers151516161122334455

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

88°F
↑ 93°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 95°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From E (94°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · SE 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.28 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →