University of South Florida '27
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 61.21 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.118 rating points from 8 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 | University of South Florida | 1.92 | 63.76 | 65.38 | 5 of 13 | 8 | Team page |
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 2.37 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 9 | Fall 2026 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.71 (fleet 2.44) | 251 of 331 | −0.06 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 24–21 (53%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 16–13 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 8–8 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (44 matches) the record is 23–21 against 25.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 Jen Harris Team Race | skipper | 2.20 | 0.41 | 1–8 | 3.1 | −1.79 | 2.4 | 99% |
| 2026-02-21 | USF Women's TR - Ashley Reynolds Reali Memorial | skipper | 2.16 | 2.14 | 10–2 | 10.0 | −0.02 | 0.0 | 69% |
| 2026-02-15 | SAISA Women's Top 6 Team Race | skipper | 2.16 | 1.61 | 5–3 | 5.5 | −0.55 | 0.2 | 87% |
| 2025-03-08 | Jen Harris Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.98 | 1.67 | 4–5 | 4.4 | −0.31 | 0.1 | 80% |
| 2025-02-22 | USF Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.78 | 2.69 | 3–3 | 2.0 | +0.91 | 0.7 | 31% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.6 | 2.33 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1 B Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.1 | 2.59 |
| SAISA Women's Top 9 Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.0 | 1.36 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.1 | 3.33 |
| AllState Women's Sugar Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | — |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semis Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 7.5 | 3.07 |
| USF Women's TR - Ashley Reynolds Reali Memorial Women's | Skipper | TR | 12 | 83% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.6 | 2.00 |
| SAISA Women's Top 6 Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| SAISA Women's Top 6 Invite Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.6 | 1.96 |
| SAISA Women's Champs: Ann Boyd Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 2.8 | 2.97 |
| SAISA Coed Champs: Richard Tillman Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.5 | 1.07 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.4 | 2.21 |
| 2026 Jen Harris Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Crew | A | 8 | 5.0 | +0.43 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 10.4 | 2.26 |
| USF Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 4.8 | 2.93 |
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 7.9 | 2.87 |
| SAISA South Fall Tournament | Skipper | B | 6 | 8.0 | 1.53 |
| Allstate Sugar Bowl (Women's) Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.9 | -0.83 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 54% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.4 | 3.00 |
| SAISA Women's Team Racing Championships Women's | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| SAISA Women's Top 9 Women's | Skipper | B | 5 | 5.2 | -0.12 |
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | A, B | 10 | 5.0 | A 2.50 · B 2.82 |
| Jen Harris Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 31% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Women's Fall Top 9 Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 7.5 | 0.02 |
| Lake Virginia Invitational | Skipper | B | 4 | 4.8 | 2.67 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
