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SAISA Women's Top 9

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 43
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 56
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 62
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 67
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 73
6 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 98
7 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 A 6 2 2 4 3 17 Kailey Warrior '27
Sara Menesale '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 1 3 8 2 5 19 Fiona Froelich '28
Natalie Dunlap '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 4 4 7 7 1 23 Ka Hamner '26
Jane Mckenzie '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 B 8 1 4 6 7 26 Ghislaine Van Empel '27
Catherine Brennan '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 A 7 6 1 5 9 28 Kalea Woodard '24
Melissa Janes '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers A 3 7 11 1 8 30 Nilah Miller '25
Ellison Fleming '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers B 2 8 9 9 4 32 Ashton Loring '26 [1-5]
Vanessa Marahrens '26 [1-3]
Paige Phillips '25 [4-5]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 11 9 10 3 2 35 Tia Schoening '26
Kristen Cooper '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 10 5 6 10 6 37 Cheyenne Dooley '28
Rori Bywater '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 5 11 5 11 12 44 Shay Bridge '28
Maggie Burnham '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 B 9 DSQ 3 8 10 45 Grace Jones '28
Heidi Hicks '25
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish A 12 12 12 12 11 59 Kaylee King '28
Priscilla Foster '27
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 13 10 13 13 14 63 Kallista Halatsis '27
Carly Sweeney '25
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish B 14 13 14 14 13 68 Taryn Leverance '25 [1-5]
Emma Kilcollins '27 [1]
Sophie Shellenberger '28 [2-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles22222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33333
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish44444
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars55555
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 166666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 277777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers88888
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles99999
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1010101010
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish1111111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1212121212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 11313131313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 21414141414

Conditions — 03/23/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From SE (137°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1020.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.31 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →