University of South Florida '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 6.12 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.098 rating points from 85 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | University of South Florida | 0.26 | 26.19 | 2.94 | 17 of 17 | 23 | Team page | |
| Fall 2024 | University of South Florida | 0.41 | 29.40 | 3.57 | 14 of 14 | 41 | Team page |
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 1.92 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 72 | Fall 2023 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.60 (fleet 2.27) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.05 ± 0.16 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 64–121 (35%) as crew 12–10 (55%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 4–2 | 12–10 |
| Spring 2024 | 4 | 14–16 | — |
| Fall 2023 | 1 | 0–2 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 6 | 26–44 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 5 | 20–57 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 18 graded regattas (205 matches) the record is 76–129 against 79.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−3.0). 3 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 5 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 26 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | SAISA Women's Team Racing Championships | skipper | 2.04 | 2.77 | 4–2 | 3.4 | +0.73 | 0.3 | 46% |
| 2025-03-01 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | crew | 1.72 | 1.89 | 5–5 | 4.7 | +0.17 | 0.0 | 56% |
| 2025-02-22 | USF Women's Team Race | crew | 1.65 | 2.28 | 7–5 | 5.9 | +0.63 | 0.5 | 32% |
| 2024-03-23 | The Duplin Trophy | skipper | 1.78 | 0.64 | 1–4 | 2.0 | −1.15 | 0.8 | 94% |
| 2024-03-09 | Jen Harris Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.76 | 2.00 | 1–2 | 0.9 | +0.24 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2024-03-02 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.75 | 1.82 | 1–3 | 1.0 | +0.08 | 0.0 | 72% |
| 2024-02-24 | USF Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.63 | 1.89 | 11–7 | 10.2 | +0.26 | 0.1 | 44% |
| 2023-04-15 | SAISA Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.80 | 3.17 | 8–3 | 5.6 | +1.36 | 2.3 | 8% |
| 2023-04-01 | Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy | skipper | 1.84 | -1.16 | 0–11 | 1.4 | ≤−3.00 | 2.1 | >99% |
| 2023-03-25 | Duplin Women’s TR | skipper | 1.80 | 1.69 | 2–5 | 2.1 | −0.11 | 0.0 | 73% |
| 2023-03-11 | St. Mary's Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.80 | 2.51 | 3–8 | 2.0 | +0.71 | 0.5 | 31% |
| 2023-03-04 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.79 | 1.70 | 3–9 | 3.2 | −0.09 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2023-02-25 | USF Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.92 | 0.34 | 10–8 | 15.2 | −1.58 | 6.4 | >99% |
| 2022-04-23 | Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 1.83 | 2.16 | 2–9 | 1.7 | +0.32 | 0.1 | 53% |
| 2022-04-03 | SAISA Women's Team Racing Championship | skipper | 1.75 | 3.33 | 7–2 | 4.6 | +1.59 | 2.8 | 6% |
| 2022-03-05 | Green Wave Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.60 | 2.43 | 9–16 | 6.3 | +0.83 | 1.7 | 10% |
| 2022-02-26 | Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.68 | -0.16 | 1–19 | 4.3 | −1.83 | 3.6 | >99% |
| 2022-02-19 | USF Women's Team Race | skipper | 1.64 | -0.53 | 1–11 | 4.7 | −2.17 | 4.9 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Fleet Race National Championships Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 14.0 | +0.01 |
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 11 | 54% | — |
| SAISA Women's Team Racing Championships Women's | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| SAISA Women's Top 9 Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 7.5 | -0.19 |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Crew | B | 12 | 6.5 | -0.19 |
| 2025 Florida Trophy | Crew | B | 5 | 4.0 | +0.09 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Allstate Sugar Bowl Women's Regatta Women's | Crew | A | 14 | 11.1 | +0.15 |
| Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's | Skipper | A, C | 11 | 7.7 | — |
| SAISA South Top 6 Invite | Crew | B | 9 | 11.0 | -0.05 |
| Lake Virginia Invitational | Crew | B | 8 | 4.4 | +0.48 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 18 | 61% | — |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 4 | 25% | — |
| Jen Harris Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| The Duplin Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 12.6 | 1.76 |
| SAISA Women's Top 12 Invite Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 6.6 | 1.54 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Championships Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.4 | 1.45 |
| SAISA Fall 2v2 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| ERAU Greg Popp Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.0 | 2.83 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 18 | 56% | — |
| St. Mary's Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| SAISA Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 73% | — |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 15 | 27% | — |
| Duplin Women’s TR Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| Dellenbaugh Women's Team Race Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC Series, Round 1A Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.4 | 2.57 |
| Sugar Bowl Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.8 | -1.34 |
| Stu Nelson Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.6 | 2.27 |
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.7 | 3.02 |
| SAISA South Fall Tournament | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.8 | 2.94 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 18% | — |
| USF Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 12 | 8% | — |
| SAISA Women's Team Racing Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 78% | — |
| SAISA Women's Spring Fleet Racing Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 9.0 | -1.15 |
| College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinals Women's | Skipper | A | 2 | 10.0 | 2.87 |
| SAISA South Points #6 | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.2 | -1.80 |
| Phebe Corckran King Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 20 | 5% | — |
| Green Wave Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 25 | 36% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 7 | 5.6 | 0.89 |
| SAISA South Points #3 | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.2 | 1.50 |
| SAISA Coed Open | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.2 | 1.03 |
| SAISA South Points #4 | Skipper | B | 8 | 3.6 | 1.84 |
| The Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 2 | 15.0 | 1.55 |
| Coed ACC's Round 1A | Skipper | B | 18 | 16.6 | 1.20 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Heidi Hicks |  Shorecrest Preparatory School |
'21 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
