SAISA Women's Top 12 Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 36 16 52
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 33 32 65
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 49 50 99
4 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 49 70 119
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 89 34 123
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 42 84 126
7 University of South Florida University of South Florida Horns 73 67 140
8 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 62 80 142
9 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 73 121 194
10 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 118 82 200
11 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 113 102 215
12 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 121 126 247
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 1 4 1 4 6 1 1 1 4 1 33 Olivia Sowa '24
Shea Hoffacker '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 6 5 3 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 7 36 Emma Shakespeare '24
Hannah Marsicano '24
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 2 5 3 9 2 3 8 2 3 4 42 Arantxa Argibay '27 [1-11]
Cora Johnson '27 [1-3, 7-11]
Chloe Beach '24 [4-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 2 3 7 4 1 4 5 4 4 9 6 49 Katie Nelson '24
Tia Schoening '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 3 6 2 8 5 3 4 2 6 8 2 49 Emily Allen '25
Madison Mihan '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 4 9 5 2 5 7 5 7 6 5 62 Ka Hamner '26
Angelina Khourisader '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 5 9 1 9 6 10 8 7 5 5 8 73 Lily Schwartz '25
Eloise Weiss '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Horns 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 9 8 2 3 73 Heidi Hicks '25 [1-11]
Dana Aljasir '27 [1-3, 10-11]
Madisen Hamai '26 [4-9]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 4 11 10 6 8 8 10 6 10 7 9 89 Martina Amunarriz '25
Abby Scudder '24
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 11 7 6 11 10 11 11 11 12 11 12 113 Zuzanna Barska '26
Ashlee Rice-Bladykas '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 12 12 11 10 11 9 9 12 11 10 11 118 Lauren Mellinger '25
Abby Van Brimmer '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 9 12 10 121 Rylie Cataldo '27
Abigail Mccollum '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 3 1 1 16 Eden Nykamp '25
Saleta Powell '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 5 2 2 2 4 2 1 1 7 3 32 Isabella Du Plessis '25 [1-11]
Julia Boutet '27 [1-6, 10-11]
Jane Caroline Minchew '25 [7-9]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University LadyPack 5 4 4 3 3 2 1 4 2 4 2 34 Maddison Carew '27
Annika Milstien '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 2 2 7 5 4 9 4 5 4 2 6 50 Ella Bilow '26
Reagan Carris '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Horns 7 7 9 4 7 8 8 3 6 3 5 67 Marina Dreyfuss '27 [1-11]
Ochithya Fernando '25 [1-3]
Jordan Macmoyle '25 [4-11]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 8 10 5 6 5 5 5 7 7 5 7 70 Niah Ford '26
Faith Hayden '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 3 3 10 9 3 9 11 9 8 11 80 Julia Scott '27 [1-11]
Maggie Burnham '26 [1-3, 7-9]
Jane Mckenzie '27 [4-6, 10-11]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 10 9 6 7 6 6 10 6 5 9 8 82 Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25
Sofia Moreno '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 6 11 9 8 10 6 10 8 6 4 84 Daniella Woodbridge '28 [1-9]
Briana Hummel '27 [10-11]
Ana Stewart '27 [1-3, 10-11]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [4-6]
Briana Hummel '27 [7-9]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 9 8 10 8 10 7 7 9 12 12 10 102 Maddie Washburn '26
Calli Mckee '27
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 11 8 11 11 11 12 12 11 11 12 121 Sophie Leduc '26
Addisyn Petrulli '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 11 8 10 10 9 126 No Show [1-6]
Kathleen Perry '24 [7-11]
No Show [1-6]
Bridget Kenney '27 [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons11133355577
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles22244466688
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators99911111111133
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles33355577799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4446668881010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins5557779991111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes10101012121222244
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University LadyPack77799911111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack6668881010101212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars88810101012121222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women11111111133355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Horns12121222244466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22244466688
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles33355577799
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators10101012121222244
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles4446668881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets5557779991111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins6668881010101212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes11111111133355
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University LadyPack88810101012121222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack77799911111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars99911111111133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women12121222244466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Horns11133355577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Lily Schwartz '25 Eloise Weiss '27
Tritons Sophie Leduc '26 Addisyn Petrulli '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Rylie Cataldo '27 Abigail Mccollum '27
Eagles No Show [1-6]
Kathleen Perry '24 [7-11]
No Show [1-6]
Bridget Kenney '27 [7-11]
Florida State University Florida State University Katie Nelson '24 Tia Schoening '26
Seminoles Niah Ford '26 Faith Hayden '26
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Lauren Mellinger '25 Abby Van Brimmer '27
Yellow Jackets Kaitlyn Bagnoni '25 Sofia Moreno '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Emily Allen '25 Madison Mihan '27
Lady Fins Ella Bilow '26 Reagan Carris '26
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Martina Amunarriz '25 Abby Scudder '24
LadyPack Maddison Carew '27 Annika Milstien '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Olivia Sowa '24 Shea Hoffacker '27
Wolfpack Isabella Du Plessis '25 [1-11] Julia Boutet '27 [1-6, 10-11]
Jane Caroline Minchew '25 [7-9]
Rollins College Rollins College Ka Hamner '26 Angelina Khourisader '23
Tars Julia Scott '27 [1-11] Maggie Burnham '26 [1-3, 7-9]
Jane Mckenzie '27 [4-6, 10-11]
University of Florida University of Florida Zuzanna Barska '26 Ashlee Rice-Bladykas '23
Gators Maddie Washburn '26 Calli Mckee '27
University of Miami University of Miami Arantxa Argibay '27 [1-11] Cora Johnson '27 [1-3, 7-11]
Chloe Beach '24 [4-6]
Hurricanes Daniella Woodbridge '28 [1-9]
Briana Hummel '27 [10-11]
Ana Stewart '27 [1-3, 10-11]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [4-6]
Briana Hummel '27 [7-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Emma Shakespeare '24 Hannah Marsicano '24
Bulls Women Eden Nykamp '25 Saleta Powell '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Heidi Hicks '25 [1-11] Dana Aljasir '27 [1-3, 10-11]
Madisen Hamai '26 [4-9]
Horns Marina Dreyfuss '27 [1-11] Ochithya Fernando '25 [1-3]
Jordan Macmoyle '25 [4-11]

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From NNE (18°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1012.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · NE 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →