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SAISA South Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 22 16 38
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 25 17 42
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 38 11 49
4 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 29 30 59
5 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 28 38 66
6 Rollins College Rollins College Tar Women 33 36 69
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 21 54 75
8 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 34 48 82
9 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 45 43 88
10 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 55 39 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 3 6 2 2 1 21 Steven Hardee '26
Julianna Skoglund '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 3 4 7 5 1 2 22 Sydney Monahan '23 [1-6]
Annette Breton '26 [1-3]
Ochithya Fernando '25 [4-6]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 4 1 1 4 8 7 25 Emma Shakespeare '24
Olivia Smith '23
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 2 3 8 7 6 28 Brendan Smucker '25
Anthon Funderburk '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 1 7 4 9 4 4 29 Dylan Hardt '25
Naomi Sterlingsdottir '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tar Women 8 5 5 7 3 5 33 Carly Orhan '23
Angelina Khourisader '23
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 9 6 10 1 5 3 34 Hudson Jenkins '25
Eric Bonifacic '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 6 9 2 3 9 9 38 Patrick Igoe '26
Lauren Theis '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 8 8 6 10 8 45 Connor Teague '23
Anjella Klaiber '23
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 10 10 9 10 6 10 55 Ella Deschamps '25
Samantha Drake '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 2 1 3 1 3 11 Owen Bannasch '26
Kayla Putzke '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 3 5 3 1 3 1 16 Kay Brunsvold '25
Kathryn Thorsen '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 6 3 2 2 2 2 17 Heidi Hicks '25
Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 7 1 6 5 4 7 30 Kevin Martin '24 [1-6]
Shane Hayward '24 [1-3]
Dom Aloysius Mandigma '23 [4-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tar Women 8 4 4 9 7 4 36 Ka Hamner '26
Maggie Burnham '26
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 2 6 DNS 4 9 6 38 Brandon Depalma '24
Harpoon Seabring '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lady Fins 5 7 5 6 DSQ 5 39 Ella Bilow '26
Mary Mann '23
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 8 7 10 5 9 43 Max Klaasen '26 [1-3]
Emily Threeton '26 [4-6]
Zi Burns '26 [1-3]
Isabella Botelho '25 [4-6]
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 10 9 8 7 6 8 48 Siena Pollis '24
Sam Pearl '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 9 10 9 8 8 10 54 Andrew Engel '26
Olivia Campmany '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles181818161616
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers171717151515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins151515131313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins161616141414
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111111999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tar Women141414121212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars131313111111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1101010181818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2999171717
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights121212101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles171717151515
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers161616141414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins141414121212
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Lady Fins151515131313
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101010181818
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tar Women131313111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars121212101010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1999171717
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2181818161616
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights111111999

Conditions — 09/10/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1016.8 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From S (169°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine6.5 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1016.8 hPa Rain0.48 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rollins: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.26 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rollins by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at Rollins).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →