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SAISA South Top 6 Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 114
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 116
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 130
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 131
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 142
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 170
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 186
8 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 245
9 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 305
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 A 1 14 1 2 1 14 5 2 5 45 Patrick Igoe '26
Cheyenne Dooley '28
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 B 10 5 12 7 2 1 1 4 4 46 Pj Rodrigues '28
Avery Guck '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 5 2 4 1 3 5 14 7 8 49 Shay Bridge '28
Jane Mckenzie '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 6 1 6 5 12 3 13 1 3 50 Emma Shakespeare '24
Melissa Janes '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 B 13 4 9 13 6 9 3 6 1 64 Hank Seum '27
Taylor Collison '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 3 11 3 6 5 6 6 16 9 65 Julia Scott '27
Cameron Kinnear '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 A 8 9 10 8 10 2 7 11 2 67 Cole Schweda '27
Kayla Putzke '24
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 A 4 6 7 9 15 8 12 3 6 70 Jordan Vieira '28
Eloise Weiss '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women A 9 3 5 14 7 13 8 5 7 71 Kalea Woodard '24
Madisen Hamai '26
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 2 8 2 12 8 10 18 12 12 84 Steven Hardee '26
Cora Johnson '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 B 15 17 13 3 11 4 4 8 10 85 Stefanos Pappas '25
Reagan Carris '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 11 12 16 4 9 7 9 9 15 92 Kailey Warrior '27
Garrett Floerchinger '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women B 14 7 14 15 4 11 11 10 13 99 Grace Jones '28
Heidi Hicks '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 12 10 15 11 16 12 2 13 11 102 Josh Becher '26 [1-9]
Isaac Van Buren '28 [1-6]
Aidan Golomb '28 [7-9]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 A 7 13 8 10 13 16 15 14 14 110 Carter Morin '25
Sophie Leduc '26
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 B 16 15 11 16 14 15 17 15 16 135 Lily Schwartz '25
Hudson Carnahan '28
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 18 18 18 17 18 17 10 18 18 152 Kaan Akdogan '24
Sophia Gallo '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 17 16 17 18 17 18 16 17 17 153 Patrick Parker '25
Kristen Cooper '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1111222333
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2222111181818
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333444555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1444333222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2555666777
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes777888999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666555444
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls888777666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women999101010111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1101010999888
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2111111121212131313
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles121212111111101010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1131313141414151515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2141414131313121212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes161616151515141414
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars151515161616171717
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls171717181818111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women181818171717161616

Conditions — 09/14/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1012.0 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 79°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From W (260°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1012.0 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.30 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →