Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 31 31 62
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 88 41 129
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 67 73 140
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 108 49 157
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 93 64 157
6 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 92 67 159
7 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 87 81 168
8 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 3 100 78 178
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 57 133 190
10 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 96 115 211
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 137 110 247
12 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 90 166 256
13 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 123 152 275
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 146 149 295
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 140 157 297
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 194 174 368
17 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 203 203 406
18 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 203 237 MRP 440 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 2 1 1 6 10 31 Erik Anderson '26 [1-10]
Gardiner Van Ness '26 [11-12]
Amanda Turner '27 [1-10]
Ann Tokoyoda '28 [11-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 4 14 2 3 2 3 5 2 4 5 4 57 Julian Skerrett '26
Samuel Long '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 2 2 8 9 7 5 1 7 6 3 14 3 67 Kay Brunsvold '25 [1-8]
Ghislaine Van Empel '27 [9-12]
Melissa Janes '26 [1-8]
Catherine Brennan '26 [9-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 8 10 2 4 8 8 11 12 7 13 2 2 87 Elizabeth Fourney '26
Avery Hogue '28
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 3 5 4 3 6 7 8 8 13 5 15 11 88 Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-8]
Kees Horn '25 [9-10]
Zach Brennan '27 [11-12]
Kees Horn '25 [1-8]
Erin Wilmore '28 [9-10]
Rafferty Eddy '28 [11-12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 10 6 6 6 5 3 7 15 3 9 13 7 90 Jack Kisling '25
Kyle Hirth '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 12 11 12 DSQ 14 6 2 1 4 7 3 1 92 Morgana Manti '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Luke Harris '27 [7-8, 11-12]
Julia Szymanski '28 [1-6]
Breeze Pickford '26 [7-8]
Luke Harris '27 [9-10]
Ava Bergan '27 [11-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 15 9 3 10 11 11 4 3 5 15 1 6 93 Kailey Warrior '27
Madisen Hamai '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 4 3 7 13 4 13 9 11 8 8 11 5 96 Evelyn Engebretson '28
Kate Gallagher '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 3 11 8 9 7 10 9 6 4 12 6 10 8 100 Grace Jones '28
Macy Parke '28
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 5 14 16 5 2 14 14 14 9 2 4 9 108 Malia Johnson '25
Elin Reigstad '28
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 14 12 10 11 9 4 13 10 10 10 7 13 123 Maggie Rickman '26
Josie Van Hoek-Patterson '22
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 7 17 11 8 13 15 10 6 15 11 12 12 137 Matt Young '29
Maclain Walsworth '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 13 13 5 12 12 10 12 13 14 12 9 15 140 Florence Duff '25
Emily Yong '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 6 7 18 17 15 12 15 9 11 14 8 14 146 Carsten Zieger '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Dante Drolet '26 [3-4]
Katherine Olsen '25 [9-10]
Michael Mcculloch '25 [11-12]
Emerson Marquez '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Katherine Hedrick '26 [3-4]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [9-10]
Valarie Pieruccini '26 [11-12]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 16 15 13 15 16 16 18 17 17 17 17 17 194 Ian Johnston '25 [1-8]
Maria Gunness '25 [9-12]
Alexis Gregorie '25 [1-4]
Axel Ognar '25 [5-8]
Sophia Pless '25 [9-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 17 16 15 14 17 18 16 18 16 18 DNS DNS 203 Juliette Cramer '26
Stephanie Ng '26
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 18 18 17 16 18 17 17 16 18 16 16 16 203 Karolina Debniak '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Andrew Martin '27 [3-6, 9-12]
Sanjana Ravuri '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sarah Lambert '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 1 4 5 3 3 3 1 3 2 2 31 Everett Mcavoy '26 [1-10]
Spencer Fleming '27 [11-12]
Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-10]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 1 3 2 1 3 2 1 1 2 7 6 12 41 Arden Rathkopf '27
Stella Taherian '27
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 9 1 6 2 4 5 2 2 3 4 3 8 49 Martha Schuessler '27 [1-12]
Morgan Carew '25 [1-10]
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '26 [11-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 6 7 3 6 1 1 5 6 5 9 8 7 64 Ghislaine Van Empel '27 [1-6]
Marina Dreyfuss '27 [7-12]
Catherine Brennan '26 [1-6]
Mercedes Newland Cespedes '24 [7-12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 11 4 7 3 2 7 8 7 7 2 5 4 67 Lara Granucci '28 [1-12]
Ava Bergan '27 [1-6]
Jackson Mckinley '26 [7-10]
Julia Szymanski '28 [11-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 1 4 5 4 9 7 6 6 9 4 8 10 1 73 Kalea Woodard '24
Ruth Bergman '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 3 5 8 5 7 12 11 4 5 8 6 1 6 78 Sara Menesale '28 [1-6]
Heidi Hicks '25 [7-12]
Heidi Hicks '25 [1-6]
Anindita Carlsen '28 [7-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 3 9 10 5 6 4 7 4 9 11 4 9 81 Kahlia Bailey '25 [1-12]
Hailey Riven '27 [1-6]
Peyton Lieser '26 [7-12]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 8 6 13 16 9 10 10 8 10 10 7 3 110 Nathan Lemke '25
Ethan Lowenthal '25
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 14 11 8 8 8 13 11 10 11 5 11 5 115 Juliet St. Germain '25
Mia Kotelec '25
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 13 14 11 11 17 13 15 6 1 12 10 133 Andrew Kestenbaum '27 [1-8]
Thomas Erisman '26 [9-12]
Marin Mitchell '27 [1-8]
Lana Coomes '28 [9-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 15 14 16 15 16 8 9 12 12 12 9 11 149 Bianca Weber '26 [1-6]
Aivan Durfee '25 [7-12]
Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Marianna Maciel '25 [3-4]
Gabriel Rousseau '27 [7-8, 11-12]
Madalyn Gordon '25 [9-10]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 7 10 12 10 18 12 12 11 15 14 16 15 152 Aevyn Jackson '29 [1-12]
Emileigh Gray '26 [1-10]
Grace Dalton '25 [11-12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 13 12 9 12 14 15 15 13 14 13 13 14 157 Sienna Stromberg '25
Maura Darby '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 16 15 11 14 10 14 14 14 13 15 14 16 166 Noa Brassfield '25
Colin Thompson '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 12 16 15 13 13 9 18 16 17 17 15 13 174 Alex Bussey '25 [1-6]
Liza Churkov '25 [7-12]
Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-6]
Landon Mcalister '25 [7-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 17 18 17 17 15 16 16 17 16 16 DNS DNS 203 Nicholas Conti '26
Ennis Piepkorn '26
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 18 17 18 18 17 18 17 18 DNS DNS DNS DNS 237 MRP Andrew Martin '27 [1-2]
Terry Nguyen '25 [3-12]
Charlotte Devries '28 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears446688101012121414
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies2244668810101212
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs11335577991111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green1010121214141616181822
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine11111313151517171133
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White12121414161618182244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows99111113131515171711
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights3355779911111313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 1131315151717113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 2141416161818224466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 31515171711335577
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1616181822446688
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies557799111113131515
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons66881010121214141616
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women8810101212141416161818
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos77991111131315151717
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 117171133557799
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 21818224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears557799111113131515
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies3355779911111313
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs2244668810101212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green11111313151517171133
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine12121414161618182244
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White131315151717113355
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1010121214141616181822
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights446688101012121414
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 1141416161818224466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 21515171711335577
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women 31616181822446688
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans17171133557799
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies66881010121214141616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons77991111131315151717
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women99111113131515171711
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos8810101212141416161818
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 11818224466881010
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 211335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Florence Duff '25 Emily Yong '25
Fillies Sienna Stromberg '25 Maura Darby '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jack Kisling '25 Kyle Hirth '25
Mustangs Noa Brassfield '25 Colin Thompson '25
Rutgers University Rutgers University Karolina Debniak '26 [1-2, 7-8]
Andrew Martin '27 [3-6, 9-12]
Sanjana Ravuri '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sarah Lambert '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Scarlet Knights Andrew Martin '27 [1-2]
Terry Nguyen '25 [3-12]
Charlotte Devries '28 [1-2]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Carsten Zieger '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Dante Drolet '26 [3-4]
Katherine Olsen '25 [9-10]
Michael Mcculloch '25 [11-12]
Emerson Marquez '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Katherine Hedrick '26 [3-4]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [9-10]
Valarie Pieruccini '26 [11-12]
Bears Bianca Weber '26 [1-6]
Aivan Durfee '25 [7-12]
Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Marianna Maciel '25 [3-4]
Gabriel Rousseau '27 [7-8, 11-12]
Madalyn Gordon '25 [9-10]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Juliette Cramer '26 Stephanie Ng '26
Aggies Nicholas Conti '26 Ennis Piepkorn '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Ian Johnston '25 [1-8]
Maria Gunness '25 [9-12]
Alexis Gregorie '25 [1-4]
Axel Ognar '25 [5-8]
Sophia Pless '25 [9-12]
Tritons Alex Bussey '25 [1-6]
Liza Churkov '25 [7-12]
Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-6]
Landon Mcalister '25 [7-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Evelyn Engebretson '28 Kate Gallagher '25
Gaucho Women Juliet St. Germain '25 Mia Kotelec '25
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Julian Skerrett '26 Samuel Long '27
Gauchos Andrew Kestenbaum '27 [1-8]
Thomas Erisman '26 [9-12]
Marin Mitchell '27 [1-8]
Lana Coomes '28 [9-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-8]
Kees Horn '25 [9-10]
Zach Brennan '27 [11-12]
Kees Horn '25 [1-8]
Erin Wilmore '28 [9-10]
Rafferty Eddy '28 [11-12]
Rainbow Green Arden Rathkopf '27 Stella Taherian '27
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Malia Johnson '25 Elin Reigstad '28
Rainbow Wahine Martha Schuessler '27 [1-12] Morgan Carew '25 [1-10]
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '26 [11-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Elizabeth Fourney '26 Avery Hogue '28
Rainbow White Kahlia Bailey '25 [1-12] Hailey Riven '27 [1-6]
Peyton Lieser '26 [7-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Erik Anderson '26 [1-10]
Gardiner Van Ness '26 [11-12]
Amanda Turner '27 [1-10]
Ann Tokoyoda '28 [11-12]
Rainbows Everett Mcavoy '26 [1-10]
Spencer Fleming '27 [11-12]
Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Kay Brunsvold '25 [1-8]
Ghislaine Van Empel '27 [9-12]
Melissa Janes '26 [1-8]
Catherine Brennan '26 [9-12]
Bulls Women 1 Kalea Woodard '24 Ruth Bergman '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Kailey Warrior '27 Madisen Hamai '26
Bulls Women 2 Ghislaine Van Empel '27 [1-6]
Marina Dreyfuss '27 [7-12]
Catherine Brennan '26 [1-6]
Mercedes Newland Cespedes '24 [7-12]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Grace Jones '28 Macy Parke '28
Bulls Women 3 Sara Menesale '28 [1-6]
Heidi Hicks '25 [7-12]
Heidi Hicks '25 [1-6]
Anindita Carlsen '28 [7-12]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Morgana Manti '26 [1-6, 9-10]
Luke Harris '27 [7-8, 11-12]
Julia Szymanski '28 [1-6]
Breeze Pickford '26 [7-8]
Luke Harris '27 [9-10]
Ava Bergan '27 [11-12]
Trojans Lara Granucci '28 [1-12] Ava Bergan '27 [1-6]
Jackson Mckinley '26 [7-10]
Julia Szymanski '28 [11-12]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Matt Young '29 Maclain Walsworth '28
Vikes 1 Nathan Lemke '25 Ethan Lowenthal '25
University of Victoria University of Victoria Maggie Rickman '26 Josie Van Hoek-Patterson '22
Vikes 2 Aevyn Jackson '29 [1-12] Emileigh Gray '26 [1-10]
Grace Dalton '25 [11-12]

Conditions — 01/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.1 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From NE (43°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover18% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn · NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →