University of Hawaii '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 (fleet 2.34) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 7–3 (70%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | — | 7–3 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 7–3 against 5.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.7). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship | crew | 2.13 | 3.74 | 7–3 | 5.3 | +1.61 | 1.7 | 16% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Charleston Fall Interconference | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.0 | 3.29 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | B | 11 | 4.7 | 2.11 |
| PCCSC South Designate 2026 | Crew | A | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| U Hawaii Invite | Skipper | A | 15 | 6.7 | 0.94 |
| Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 10 | 4.6 | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| West Coast Championships | Skipper | B | 3 | 11.3 | 1.41 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 9 | 3.6 | — |
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.4 | 3.16 |
| PCCSC South Designate 2025 | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.4 | 2.89 |
| PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship | Crew | TR | 19 | 68% | — |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Port of Los Angeles Harbor Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 9 | 5.1 | — |
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | B | 7 | 4.4 | 2.31 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
