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Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 25 30 55
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 46 43 89
3 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 56 35 91
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 63 50 113
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 64 64 128
6 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 96 59 155
7 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 83 94 177
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 45 143 188
9 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 62 132 194
10 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 117 79 196
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 137 105 242
12 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 110 135 245
13 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 149 103 252
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 128 143 271
15 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 167 112 279
16 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 148 170 318
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 1 2 1 1 5 1 2 2 1 8 25 Erik Anderson '26
Amanda Turner '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 8 4 7 2 5 2 4 4 4 3 2 45 Marianna Shand '24 [1-11]
Linnea Jackson '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Neomi Goodman '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 2 2 1 6 4 9 2 5 10 4 1 46 Mercy Tangredi '25 [1-11]
Morgan Carew '25 [1-8, 11]
Sydney Piquilloud '27 [9-10]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 3 8 3 4 8 1 3 3 9 11 3 56 Valerio Palamara '24
Jose Chapa '26
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 6 3 9 5 6 4 9 6 3 2 9 62 Jack Kisling '25 [1-11]
Emily Yong '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sarah Kate Mcelroy '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 4 12 4 3 7 3 10 7 1 5 7 63 Everett Mcavoy '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Gardiner Van Ness '26 [7-8]
Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-6, 9-11]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 7 5 11 7 2 7 5 1 7 7 5 64 Nathan Lemke '25
Maclain Walsworth '28
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 10 7 6 8 3 8 6 8 11 6 10 83 Matt Grimsley '26
Patrick Gardiner '26
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 5 6 5 11 11 11 12 15 8 8 4 96 Martha Schuessler '27 [1-6, 9-11]
Kahlia Bailey '25 [7-8]
Peyton Lieser '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 9 15 13 14 10 6 11 11 5 10 6 110 Sadie Hoberman '25
Gillian Cate '25
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 12 10 12 13 9 12 8 14 6 9 12 117 Jessica Hirschbold '27 [1-5]
Connor Smith '27 [6-11]
Angela Ying '25 [1-5]
Maddline Brinkmann '26 [6-11]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 16 8 9 12 13 7 12 13 14 13 128 Sean Lipps '24 [1-11]
Cassidy Murray '24 [1-8]
Carli Smith '13 [9-11]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 15 9 14 10 13 10 14 10 14 13 15 137 Anna Schroeder '23
Megan Hamilton '05
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 16 13 15 15 15 14 13 9 12 15 11 148 Abby Evans '27 [1-6]
Braedon Hansen '25 [7-11]
Sara Camarero '24 [1-6]
Aryaman Patel '24 [7-11]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 14 14 10 12 14 15 15 13 16 12 14 149 Alexander Kaslosas '26 [1-11]
Dante Drolet '26 [1-6]
Elsa Danielsson '24 [7-11]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 13 11 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 16 16 167 Marlon Wool '26 [1-10]
Karolina Debniak '26 [11]
Karolina Debniak '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Amelia Mignone '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Evan Kohut '26 [11]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 4 1 1 7 3 4 2 2 3 2 30 Trey Summers '24 [1-11]
Stella Taherian '27 [1-6, 9-11]
Kees Horn '25 [7-8]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 2 1 2 4 4 1 1 3 5 7 5 35 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine DSQ 3 7 3 2 2 2 1 3 2 1 43 Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-11]
Anna Kalabukhova '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Emily Velasquez '27 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 3 5 4 5 5 4 3 7 4 6 4 50 Arden Rathkopf '27 [1-4, 9-11]
Theodore Knobel '25 [5-6]
Zach Brennan '27 [7-8]
Talia Mcwilliams '26 [1-4, 9-11]
Olivia Merz '27 [5-6]
Summer Demmon '26 [7-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 5 6 6 2 3 11 6 12 1 1 6 59 Malia Johnson '25 [1-6, 9-11]
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '26 [7-8]
Holly Coughlan '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Hailey Riven '27 [7-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 4 2 9 6 1 7 5 6 9 12 3 64 Dale Whitmore '24
Arden Grew '19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 7 7 3 9 8 13 7 4 7 4 10 79 Emmanuella Partyka '25 [1-5]
Liv Middleton '26 [6-11]
Isabelle Heller '26 [1-5]
Anthony Rizk '27 [6-11]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 9 9 5 10 10 8 10 8 6 11 8 94 Mitchell Powers '25
Jaquelyn Quintana '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 12 8 8 7 12 10 9 11 11 8 7 103 Aivan Durfee '25 [1-6]
Emerson Marquez '27 [7-11]
Ivanni Jamin '24 [1-4]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [5-11]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 6 13 11 11 13 12 8 5 10 5 11 105 Kira Hutchinson '25
Emily Clark '23
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 8 14 13 12 6 5 11 9 12 13 9 112 Kate Faranetta '24 [1-11]
Evan Kohut '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Ryan '24 [3-4, 9-10]
Ralph Molinari '24 [7-8, 11]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 11 12 12 14 9 9 12 13 13 14 13 132 Colin Thompson '25 [1-11]
Dylan Tran '24 [1-6, 9-10]
Sara Moore '24 [7-8, 11]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 10 11 10 13 15 14 16 10 15 9 12 135 Erin Welker '27
Samantha George '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 13 10 14 8 14 16 15 15 8 15 15 143 Grace Richie '24 [1-8]
Adem Evecek '25 [9-11]
Bella Valente '24 [1-8]
Laurence Mach '24 [9-11]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 14 15 16 16 11 6 13 14 14 10 14 143 Katherine Smith '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
John Gallagher '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Jee Keat Wah '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 15 16 15 15 16 15 14 16 16 16 16 170 Alexander Lohan '24 [1-6]
Claire Desbaillets '24 [7-11]
Stephanie Ng '26 [1-6]
Chloe Lighterink '24 [7-11]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 1113355779911
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 22216161414121210108
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears77991111131315151
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds6644221616141412
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs33557799111113
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates442216161414121210
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green121210108866442
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine14141212101088664
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White131315151133557
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows11111313151511335
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights5577991111131315
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies88664422161614
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins99111113131515113
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons10108866442216
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 11515113355779
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 21616141412121010886

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 122446688101012
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 211151513131111997
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears8810101212141416162
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds5533111515131311
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs4466881010121214
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates33111515131311119
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green1111997755331
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine131311119977553
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White141416162244668
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows12121414161622446
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights668810101212141416
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies77553311151513
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1010121214141616224
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons997755331115
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 116162244668810
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 215151313111199775
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Matt Grimsley '26 Patrick Gardiner '26
Sun Devils 1 Mitchell Powers '25 Jaquelyn Quintana '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sadie Hoberman '25 Gillian Cate '25
Sun Devils 2 Erin Welker '27 Samantha George '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Jack Kisling '25 [1-11] Emily Yong '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sarah Kate Mcelroy '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Mustangs Colin Thompson '25 [1-11] Dylan Tran '24 [1-6, 9-10]
Sara Moore '24 [7-8, 11]
Hampton University Hampton University Valerio Palamara '24 Jose Chapa '26
Pirates Stefano Palamara '25 Tommaso Ciaglia '25
Rutgers University Rutgers University Marlon Wool '26 [1-10]
Karolina Debniak '26 [11]		 Karolina Debniak '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Amelia Mignone '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Evan Kohut '26 [11]
Scarlet Knights Kate Faranetta '24 [1-11] Evan Kohut '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Ryan '24 [3-4, 9-10]
Ralph Molinari '24 [7-8, 11]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Jessica Hirschbold '27 [1-5]
Connor Smith '27 [6-11]		 Angela Ying '25 [1-5]
Maddline Brinkmann '26 [6-11]
UBC Thunderbirds Emmanuella Partyka '25 [1-5]
Liv Middleton '26 [6-11]		 Isabelle Heller '26 [1-5]
Anthony Rizk '27 [6-11]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Alexander Kaslosas '26 [1-11] Dante Drolet '26 [1-6]
Elsa Danielsson '24 [7-11]
Bears Aivan Durfee '25 [1-6]
Emerson Marquez '27 [7-11]		 Ivanni Jamin '24 [1-4]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [5-11]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Abby Evans '27 [1-6]
Braedon Hansen '25 [7-11]		 Sara Camarero '24 [1-6]
Aryaman Patel '24 [7-11]
Aggies Alexander Lohan '24 [1-6]
Claire Desbaillets '24 [7-11]		 Stephanie Ng '26 [1-6]
Chloe Lighterink '24 [7-11]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marianna Shand '24 [1-11] Linnea Jackson '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Neomi Goodman '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Bruins Katherine Smith '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
John Gallagher '24 [3-4, 7-8, 11]		 Jee Keat Wah '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sean Lipps '24 [1-11] Cassidy Murray '24 [1-8]
Carli Smith '13 [9-11]
Tritons Grace Richie '24 [1-8]
Adem Evecek '25 [9-11]		 Bella Valente '24 [1-8]
Laurence Mach '24 [9-11]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Everett Mcavoy '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Gardiner Van Ness '26 [7-8]		 Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-6, 9-11]
Rainbow Green Arden Rathkopf '27 [1-4, 9-11]
Theodore Knobel '25 [5-6]
Zach Brennan '27 [7-8]		 Talia Mcwilliams '26 [1-4, 9-11]
Olivia Merz '27 [5-6]
Summer Demmon '26 [7-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Mercy Tangredi '25 [1-11] Morgan Carew '25 [1-8, 11]
Sydney Piquilloud '27 [9-10]
Rainbow Wahine Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-11] Anna Kalabukhova '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Emily Velasquez '27 [5-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Martha Schuessler '27 [1-6, 9-11]
Kahlia Bailey '25 [7-8]		 Peyton Lieser '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Rainbow White Malia Johnson '25 [1-6, 9-11]
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '26 [7-8]		 Holly Coughlan '26 [1-6, 9-11]
Hailey Riven '27 [7-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Erik Anderson '26 Amanda Turner '27
Rainbows Trey Summers '24 [1-11] Stella Taherian '27 [1-6, 9-11]
Kees Horn '25 [7-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Nathan Lemke '25 Maclain Walsworth '28
Vikes 1 Dale Whitmore '24 Arden Grew '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Anna Schroeder '23 Megan Hamilton '05
Vikes 2 Kira Hutchinson '25 Emily Clark '23

Conditions — 01/20/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From SSW (197°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1013.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →