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U Hawaii Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green 148
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 180
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black 236
4 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 243
5 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White 270
6 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 306
7 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 328
8 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 485
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows A 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 8 13 38 Erik Anderson '26 [1-14]
Amanda Turner '27 [15-16]
Amanda Turner '27 [1-14]
Erik Anderson '26 [15-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green A 5 4 2 5 7 6 4 4 6 4 2 1 6 4 1 3 64 William Bagley '29
Leila Landay '29
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black A 4 2 4 4 2 2 3 3 8 5 6 7 8 2 6 1 67 Everett Mcavoy '26
Alister Muto '29
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Green B 3 6 12 6 6 3 2 7 2 2 3 8 10 3 9 2 84 Christopher Daher '29 [1-16]
Seaena Charlton '30 [1-4]
Lily Beckerman '28 [5-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine A 2 5 3 2 11 5 7 14 7 13 9 6 4 10 5 5 108 Martha Schuessler '27 [1-8]
Elin Reigstad '28 [9-10]
Stella Taherian '27 [11-16]
Avery Hogue '28 [1-10]
Elin Reigstad '28 [11-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White A 6 3 DNF 3 4 11 11 12 5 8 5 10 7 5 4 7 118 Arden Rathkopf '27
Ann Tokoyoda '28
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils A 10 8 9 8 5 8 13 2 3 10 12 3 11 9 3 10 124 Matt Grimsley '26
Max Herbreteau '28
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine B 8 7 5 11 10 10 6 13 12 9 4 5 1 12 11 11 135 Elizabeth Fourney '27 [1-10]
Kahlia Bailey '25 [11-16]
Peyton Lieser '26 [1-10]
Kylie Alexander '26 [11-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows B 14 12 8 12 14 12 5 11 11 11 8 4 2 7 7 4 142 Spencer Fleming '27 [1-16]
Jenna Englehart '28 [1-10]
Tepua Ho '28 [11-16]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons A 11 10 10 10 9 7 12 5 13 6 11 12 5 11 2 9 143 Allie Shand '26
Delaney Johansson '27
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow White B 7 13 6 7 12 4 10 6 14 12 7 9 12 6 13 14 152 Zach Brennan '27 [1-10]
Gardiner Van Ness '26 [11-16]
Erin Wilmore '28 [1-10]
Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '26 [11-16]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Black B 9 11 7 9 3 9 8 10 DNF 7 14 13 13 14 DNF 8 169 Sam Bartlett '29 [1-10]
Amanda Wheeler '29 [11-16]
Olivia Merz '27 [1-10]
Gabriella (Gabi) Furnans '28 [11-16]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils B 13 14 11 14 8 13 14 8 10 14 13 11 9 8 10 12 182 Juan Casal '27
Veja Zaprauskis '28
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons B 12 9 13 13 13 14 9 9 9 15 10 14 14 13 12 6 185 Skyler Chaffey '28
Sophia Whitney Miller '27
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks A 15 DNF 14 15 15 15 15 16 15 16 15 15 15 15 14 15 242 Cade Boguslaw '27
Katie Rowley '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks B DNF DNF DNS DNS DNF DNS DNS 15 4 3 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 243 Elliot Neve '28
Emi Ollice '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils1122334455667788
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black443322111616151514141313
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green5566778899101011111212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine77889910101111121213131414
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White66554433221116161515
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows334455667788991010
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons2211161615151414131312121111
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks8877665544332211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils991010111112121313141415151616
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Black1212111110109988776655
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Green131314141515161611223344
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine15151616112233445566
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow White14141313121211111010998877
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1111121213131414151516161122
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons101099887766554433
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks161615151414131312121111101099

Conditions — 03/28/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 30.5 kn
From NNE (31°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine10.6 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1016.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →