University of California at San Diego '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 (fleet 0.79) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–9 (18%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 2–9 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 2–9 against 1.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-08 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 0.59 | 1.03 | 2–9 | 1.4 | +0.44 | 0.2 | 44% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.7 | 1.05 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.0 | 1.27 |
| Jeff Simon Open | Skipper | B | 9 | 15.7 | 0.95 |
| U Hawaii Invite | Skipper | B | 16 | 11.6 | -3.35 |
| Cactus Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 16.3 | -0.66 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open | Skipper | B | 9 | 6.6 | 1.95 |
| Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.6 | -0.14 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | C | 4 | 17.5 | -0.83 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate 2025 | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.1 | 0.22 |
| Mustang Open JV | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.5 | 0.84 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 11 | 18% | — |
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta Coed | Skipper | A | 6 | 19.0 | 1.23 |
| Cactus Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 1.90 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh Soph | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.6 | 2.13 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.0 | 0.58 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
