Navigate

Sugar Bowl Women's

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 15
2 Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave 39
3 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 71
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 103
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 149
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 170
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 179
8 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 248
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women A 2 5 1 2 1 1 2 1 15 Ciara Rodriguez-Horan '22
Lydia Brown '23
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 1 4 2 1 2 2 1 3 16 Emily Alfortish '25
Chloe Hudgins '24
Tulane University Tulane University Angry Wave B 3 6 5 7 4 4 5 5 39 Lucy Spearman '25 [1-4]
Ashley Hoguet '26 [5-8]
Megan Cassidy '26 [1-4]
Catherine Anderson '26 [5-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 A 5 9 12 3 6 3 3 6 47 Sydney Monahan '23
Kay Brunsvold '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 7 2 9 8 5 8 4 8 51 Eden Nykamp '25
Amelia Johnson '25
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 9 12 3 4 12 7 6 2 55 Fredrikke Foss '25
Noelle Owen '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 B 8 7 4 6 8 5 7 11 56 Emma Shakespeare '24
Olivia Smith '23
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 A 12 3 11 9 9 10 11 13 78 Heidi Hicks '25
Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 13 13 8 11 11 6 8 12 82 Agija Elerte '26
Nilias Vidarte '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 B 14 8 10 13 13 14 10 10 92 Lily Theisen '23
Ochithya Fernando '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 11 10 14 14 14 13 12 9 97 Ella Bilow '26
Samantha Drake '25
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 10 14 13 12 10 11 14 14 98 Tia Soultanakis '26
Tess Heilman '26
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks A 15 15 16 15 15 16 16 16 124 Sydney Vanmeerhaeghe '25
Olivia Lischer '26
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks B 16 16 15 16 16 15 15 15 124 Emma Russin '23
Evann Greene '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11223344
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22334455
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins33445566
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks66778899
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 17788991010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2889910101111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars99101011111212
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1010111112121313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1111121213131414
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks14141515161611
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1151516161122
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 21616112233

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.0 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 79°F
Feels like 94°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From NNW (343°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · N 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.38 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →