SAISA Women's Spring Fleet Racing Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 84
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 100
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 122
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 123
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 128
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 142
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 150
8 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 240
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 2 7 2 5 3 1 2 2 24 Grace Squires '24
Kalea Woodard '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 5 3 5 1 4 2 8 1 29 Emily Allen '25
Grace Benzal '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 1 1 6 10 7 7 1 3 36 Eden Nykamp '25
Amelia Johnson '25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 6 2 3 6 8 5 6 4 40 Ashley Delisser '24
Grace Harden '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 4 9 7 7 2 8 4 8 49 Emma Shakespeare '24 [1-8]
Carolina Perez Rovira '22 [1-4]
Olivia Smith '23 [5-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 8 12 4 DSQ 1 3 5 5 55 Charlotte Rose '22
Elizabeth Johnson '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 7 5 1 3 11 10 9 14 60 Olivia Sowa '24
Annika Milstien '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 9 4 9 2 5 14 11 6 60 Katie Nelson '24 [1-8]
Kristen Cooper '25 [1-2]
Olivia Hanley '24 [3-8]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 13 6 11 11 6 4 3 9 63 Isabella Du Plessis '24
Abby Scudder '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 12 8 13 9 9 6 12 7 76 Kiera Oreardon '22 [1-4]
Emma Tallman '25 [5-8]
Lucy Klempen '24 [1-2]
Anna Sherry '23 [3-4]
Roxanne Snyder '23 [5-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 11 11 12 4 12 11 7 11 79 Sydney Monahan '23 [1-6]
Heidi Hicks '25 [7-8]
Olivia Smith '23 [1-2]
Jackie Morrison '23 [3-6]
Jewel "Min Min" Kelly '24 [7-8]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 3 10 14 13 10 12 10 10 82 Marina Geilen '25
Laura Johnston '25
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 10 14 8 8 14 9 14 13 90 Kathleen Lojko '23 [1-8]
Breanna Brobst '22 [1-4]
Avery Harris '25 [5-8]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B 15 13 15 12 13 13 13 12 106 Lily Schwartz '25 [1-8]
Sophia Hacket '25 [1-2]
Elissa Martinez '23 [3-4]
Anna O'Reilly '25 [5-8]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets B 16 16 10 15 15 15 15 16 118 Isabelle Pobanz '23
Sofia Moreno '25
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets A 14 15 16 14 16 16 16 15 122 Lauren Mellinger '25
Shannon Mcgrane '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars33445566
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons4433101099
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles55667788
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets66554433
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins7788991010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes9910103344
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack88776655
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1010998877

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1313141415151616
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1414131320201919
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles1515161617171818
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets1616151514141313
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1717181819192020
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes1919202013131414
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack1818171716161515
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls2020191918181717

Conditions — 04/02/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1015.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover96% Sunshine4.7 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1015.6 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →