Ellison Fleming

Crew Rating

Career: 15.95 percentile of ICSA crews
-0.250.000.250.500.75W. Avery (11 races): -0.73W. AverySpring 2024: rating 0.60Spring 2024Clemson UniversityW. Avery (5 races): +0.32W. AveryL. Adams (9 races): +0.03L. AdamsN. Miller (15 races): +0.01Fall 2024: rating 0.17Fall 2024Clemson UniversityN. Bunce (10 races): -0.03N. BunceN. Miller (27 races): +0.01N. MillerSpring 2025: rating 0.27Spring 2025Clemson UniversityB. Cameron (12 races): -0.32B. CameronFall 2025: rating 0.07Fall 2025Clemson University
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Fall 2025 Clemson University 0.07 Rating 0.07; 90% range -2.8 to 3.0; team skipper average 1.19 22.23 15.00 9 of 10 12 Team page
Spring 2025 Clemson University 0.27 Rating 0.27; 90% range -2.6 to 3.1; team skipper average 1.29 26.29 15.00 9 of 10 37 Team page
Fall 2024 Clemson University 0.17 Rating 0.17; 90% range -2.7 to 3.0; team skipper average 1.39 24.75 4.55 11 of 11 29 Team page
Spring 2024 Clemson University 0.60 Rating 0.60; 90% range -2.3 to 3.5; team skipper average 0.99 32.95 35.00 7 of 10 11 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.46 unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 5–20 (20%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20253—5–20

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 2 graded regattas (24 matches) the record is 5–19 against 7.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-03-01The Mendelblatt Team Racecrew1.752.623–62.0+0.880.729%
2025-02-15Lake Virginia Team Racecrew1.680.362–135.0−1.322.699%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Battle of the Bay Crew A 12 4.5 -0.32
Spring 2025 Team page Season
SAISA Women's Fleet Race Champs - Ann Boyd Trophy Women's Crew A 11 5.4 -0.10
SAISA Women's Top 9 Women's Crew A 5 6.0 -0.00
SAISA Open Team Race Champs Crew TR 9 11% —
The Mendelblatt Team Race Crew TR 9 33% —
Lake Virginia Team Race Crew TR 15 13% —
Harris Kempner Memorial Crew B 10 3.5 -0.03
CNU Women's Women's Crew A 11 4.5 +0.11
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Women's ACC Round 1A Women's Crew B 11 12.3 +0.07
Tiger Town Trophy Crew B 3 4.0 +0.02
SAISA Fall Women's Championship Women's Crew B 4 8.5 -0.06
David Van Cleef Memorial Trophy Crew B 5 2.8 +0.32
2024 Triangle Tango Intercollegiate Regatta Crew B 6 3.0 +0.00
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Tiger Town Trophy Crew B 3 7.7 -0.33
2024 SailPack Oriental Intercollegiate Crew B 8 10.0 -0.40
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Tiger Town Trophy Crew B 3 3.3 -0.13

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →