Battle of the Bay

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 2 19 19
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 1 35 35
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 44 44
4 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 1 45 45
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 54 54
6 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 62 62
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 85 85
8 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 2 88 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 2 3 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 1 2 2 1 19 Maclaren Bell '29
Matthew Diaz '29
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 1 1 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 5 4 3 35 Blake Polsen '29
David Wyse '29
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 6 4 6 2 2 1 5 4 6 3 1 4 44 Matthew Laufer '27
Robert Medlin '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 1 5 5 4 4 4 3 2 5 3 1 7 2 45 Maddy Lee '27 [1-12]
Rylie Rezapour '25 [1-2, 5-12]
Grace Remey '26 [3-4]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 4 6 2 5 5 5 6 2 4 4 3 8 54 Brendan Cameron '27
Ellison Fleming '26
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 2 2 5 6 6 6 4 6 7 7 6 5 62 Drew Gourley '27
Madisen Oberg '29
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 5 8 5 6 85 Menya Bird '26
Maddie Gallagher '26
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 2 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 8 6 8 7 88 Gage Krahulik '29 [1-12]
Kacie Larsen '29 [1-2, 5-7, 10-11]
Noah Aycock '26 [3-4, 8-9, 12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 1222222222222
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 2333333333333
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1444444444444
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2555555555555
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 1777777777777
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 2888888888888
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 1111111111111111111111111
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Sea Aggies 2101010101010101010101010

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 85°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From NE (42°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn · SE 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M C. Christ: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M C. Christ by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Texas A&M C. Christ, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →