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SAISA Fall Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 93
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 138
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 231
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 234
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 268
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 338
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 359
8 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 386
9 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 527
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 3 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 7 1 5 2 2 1 32 Emma Tallman '25 [1-9]
Bella Shakespeare '27 [10-15]
Clara Murphy '27 [1-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 1 3 5 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 8 2 5 3 2 46 Kay Brunsvold '25
Kalea Woodard '24
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 5 4 3 8 4 4 3 3 3 8 3 4 1 5 3 61 Emily Alfortish '25 [1-9]
Fredrikke Foss '25 [10-15]
Andrea Melnik '27 [1-9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 14 6 1 3 11 5 7 8 4 2 2 12 3 10 4 92 Emma Shakespeare '24
Melissa Janes '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 2 8 9 4 6 6 9 9 9 5 4 9 7 1 6 94 Emily Allen '25
Reagan Carris '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers A 7 7 8 14 5 9 6 6 5 6 10 1 12 6 14 116 Ashton Loring '26
Carter Durst '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 6 2 15 6 9 7 5 4 6 4 11 3 14 16 10 118 Shay Bridge '28
Jane Mckenzie '27
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers B 4 9 4 11 8 1 11 12 11 3 5 15 4 8 12 118 Nilah Miller '25 [1-15]
Paige Phillips '25 [1-8, 13-15]
Ellison Fleming '26 [9-12]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 15 10 6 9 2 8 8 5 12 11 7 8 9 7 11 128 Niah Ford '26
Kristen Cooper '25
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 8 5 10 2 13 13 15 13 14 16 6 7 6 4 5 137 Kaitlyn Liebel '26 [1-6, 11-15]
Agija Elerte '26 [7-10]
Payton Ruth '26 [1-6, 11-15]
Cheyenne Dooley '28 [7-10]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 11 14 7 7 12 11 4 7 7 12 15 10 10 14 9 150 Julia Scott '27
Isabel Brenner '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 16 13 12 15 7 12 16 14 8 10 9 6 13 9 7 167 Lyla Solway '28 [1-4]
Evelyn Hannah '28 [5-15]
Olivia Soucy '28 [1-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 13 12 13 10 14 14 10 11 13 9 12 11 8 13 8 171 Annika Milstien '25 [1-15]
Jane Caroline Minchew '25 [1-7, 13-15]
Shea Hoffacker '27 [8-12]
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels A 9 16 14 13 10 10 12 10 10 15 13 16 11 11 13 183 Kathleen Hale '26
Sarina Schmoyer '27
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels B 10 11 11 12 15 15 14 15 15 13 14 13 17 12 16 203 Emma Gumny '28
May Proctor '27
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 12 15 17 16 16 16 13 16 16 14 16 17 15 15 17 231 Olivia Hoover '27
Olivia Figley '26
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights A DNF 17 16 17 17 17 17 DSQ 17 17 17 14 16 17 15 252 Brianna Nardelli '25
Emma Salomon '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights B 17 18 DNF 18 18 18 DNF DSQ DSQ 18 18 18 DNF DNF 18 275 Ashley Flanagan '27
Lia Maman '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111181818171717161616
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111222333444555
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles333444555666777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins444333222111181818
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels888777666555444
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555666777888999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars666555444333222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls999101010111111121212131313
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights777888999101010111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars111111121212131313141414151515
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers101010999888777666
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles121212111111101010999888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins131313141414151515161616171717
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels171717181818111222333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack141414131313121212111111101010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars151515161616171717181818111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181818171717161616151515141414
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights161616151515141414131313121212

Conditions — 10/25/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 14.2 kn
From E (98°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover6% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →