SAISA Women's Top 6 Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 131
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 190
3 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 229
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 292
5 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 347
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 350
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 2 8 5 1 1 2 11 2 3 35 Ashley Alfortish '27
Lucy Zinn '28
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 2 2 2 5 5 13 5 5 40 Bella Shakespeare '27
Lucy Elvart '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 10 17 8 4 2 1 3 3 2 50 Ghislaine Van Empel '27
Catherine Brennan '26
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars C 3 7 10 9 6 4 6 7 4 56 Georgia Shuster '29
Gaelen Adam '29
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 7 6 3 8 4 3 10 14 8 63 Kailey Warrior '27
Madisen Hamai '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 15 4 14 10 3 11 5 6 1 69 Kaitlyn Liebel '26
Amelia Sulciner '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 4 13 9 11 9 6 1 8 10 71 Annie Samis '29
Jane Mckenzie '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars C 6 14 4 14 8 7 4 9 9 75 Adelaide Matzky '29
Mollie Wood '29
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls C 18 16 6 5 10 13 2 1 6 77 Grace Jones '28
Melissa Janes '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 5 1 1 12 11 17 14 10 12 83 Shay Bridge '28
Maggie Burnham '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 9 10 11 3 13 15 7 4 14 86 Fiona Froelich '28
Cheyenne Dooley '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 14 5 7 6 18 9 15 11 11 96 Evelyn Hannah '28
Olivia Soucy '28
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers A 8 3 12 13 16 12 8 12 16 100 Ashton Loring '26
Vanessa Marahrens '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers B 13 9 17 7 12 10 9 16 18 111 Madeleine Harris '29
Madison Cannon '29
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack C 17 11 13 16 17 8 16 13 7 118 Lyla Solway '28
Sarina Schmoyer '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 11 12 15 15 15 16 17 18 17 136 Olivia Burdette '29
Reese Levinson '29
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers C 16 15 18 17 14 14 12 17 13 136 Myah Frashier '28
Taylor Bulwinkle '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins C 12 18 16 18 7 18 18 15 15 137 Kaitlyn Anderson '29
Annie Mckenzie '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars222111181818
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers111222333
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins333444555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack444333222
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars555666777
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666555444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars888777666
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers777888999
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins999101010111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack101010999888
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars111111121212131313
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls121212111111101010

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars141414131313121212
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers131313141414151515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins151515161616171717
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack161616151515141414
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars171717181818111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls181818171717161616

Conditions — 02/14/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1024.5 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From E (98°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover22% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1024.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →