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SAISA South Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 20 15 35
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women JV 25 32 57
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 28 41 69
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 23 48 71
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars Women 40 35 75
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 50 39 89
7 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 37 58 95
8 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 48 56 104
9 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 71 34 105
10 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 39 77 116
11 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 52 66 118
12 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 73 46 119
13 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 79 41 120
14 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 72 68 140
15 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 77 66 143
16 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 87 97 184
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 5 4 5 2 2 2 20 Darby Smith '28
Natalie Dunlap '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 2 9 2 8 1 1 23 Kailey Warrior '27
Madisen Hamai '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women JV 1 2 4 4 10 4 25 Grace Jones '28
Melissa Janes '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 5 10 1 4 5 28 Joshua Knowles '26
Emerson Teer '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 14 3 1 7 3 9 37 Will Platten '27
Roman Borger '26
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 6 7 3 10 7 6 39 Dawson Kohl '27
Priscilla Foster '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars Women 7 1 11 12 6 3 40 Shay Bridge '28
Maggie Burnham '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 10 6 6 6 12 8 48 Fiona Froelich '28
Amelia Sulciner '28
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 4 12 7 5 8 14 50 Josh Becher '26
Christopher Mccollum '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 10 9 3 5 DSQ 52 Zach O'Connor '27
Sarah Percy '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 11 13 13 13 14 7 71 Suhas Medidi '26
Michael Dolan '28
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 15 8 12 16 9 12 72 Sofia Scarpa '26
William Mullray '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 12 11 15 9 15 11 73 Caleb Kinnear '29
Soleil Aurignac '29
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 13 15 14 14 11 10 77 Ayden Feria '27
Lia Maman '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 9 DSQ 8 11 OCS DSQ 79 Oliver West '27
Lanee Imperato '29
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 16 14 16 15 13 13 87 Ryan Terski '26
Emma Salomon '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 3 1 2 1 4 4 15 Parker Thran '28
Elizabeth Williamson '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women JV 2 2 5 12 5 6 32 Sara Menesale '28
Ivy Dumas '29
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 10 3 7 1 7 34 Mason Howell '28
Christopher Cunha '28
Rollins College Rollins College Tars Women 1 12 7 4 9 2 35 Annie Samis '29
Jane Mckenzie '27
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 5 5 6 11 11 1 39 Brendan Jay '27
Dan Elling '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 9 6 9 9 3 5 41 Mason Mattice '28
Cyra Morano '29
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 10 8 11 2 7 3 41 Harrison Vanderground '28
Cora Johnson '27
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 7 13 8 6 8 46 Milo Fleming '28
Alexander Goldsmith '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 7 4 1 14 12 10 48 Ghislaine Van Empel '27
Catherine Brennan '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 11 11 4 6 15 9 56 Cheyenne Dooley '28
Kaitlyn Anderson '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 8 3 10 15 10 12 58 Conner Brandon '27
Savannah Monnig '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 12 9 8 10 14 13 66 Beatriz Newland '27
Hannes Leonard '27
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 15 13 12 13 2 11 66 Justin Tribou '29
Peter Vinogradov '27
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 14 14 15 3 8 14 68 Noah Scholtz '29
Abigail Hesterhagen '28
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 13 15 14 5 13 OCS 77 Nathan Hjort '27
Lily Frakes '28
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 16 DNF 16 OCS 16 15 97 Ashley Flanagan '27
Luisa Ramirez '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles111333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators111111131313
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers222161616
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1333555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2444222
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 3555777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 4666444
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 1121212101010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 2131313151515
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish777999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars999111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars Women888666
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls141414121212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women151515111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women JV161616141414
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights101010888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators121212141414
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers111151515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2333111
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 3666888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 4555333
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 1111111999
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes 2141414161616
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish888101010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars101010121212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars Women777555
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131313111111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women161616222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women JV151515131313
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights999777
School / Team SkipperCrew
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Suhas Medidi '26 Michael Dolan '28
Eagles Mason Howell '28 Christopher Cunha '28
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Sofia Scarpa '26 William Mullray '26
Panthers Noah Scholtz '29 Abigail Hesterhagen '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Darby Smith '28 Natalie Dunlap '28
Fins 1 Parker Thran '28 Elizabeth Williamson '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Joshua Knowles '26 Emerson Teer '29
Fins 2 Mason Mattice '28 Cyra Morano '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fiona Froelich '28 Amelia Sulciner '28
Fins 3 Cheyenne Dooley '28 Kaitlyn Anderson '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Will Platten '27 Roman Borger '26
Fins 4 Conner Brandon '27 Savannah Monnig '27
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Dawson Kohl '27 Priscilla Foster '27
Sailfish Nathan Hjort '27 Lily Frakes '28
Rollins College Rollins College Caleb Kinnear '29 Soleil Aurignac '29
Tars Milo Fleming '28 Alexander Goldsmith '28
Rollins College Rollins College Shay Bridge '28 Maggie Burnham '26
Tars Women Annie Samis '29 Jane Mckenzie '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Ryan Terski '26 Emma Salomon '27
Knights Ashley Flanagan '27 Luisa Ramirez '27
University of Florida University of Florida Ayden Feria '27 Lia Maman '27
Gators Justin Tribou '29 Peter Vinogradov '27
University of Miami University of Miami Oliver West '27 Lanee Imperato '29
Hurricanes 1 Harrison Vanderground '28 Cora Johnson '27
University of Miami University of Miami Josh Becher '26 Christopher Mccollum '28
Hurricanes 2 Brendan Jay '27 Dan Elling '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Zach O'Connor '27 Sarah Percy '26
Bulls Beatriz Newland '27 Hannes Leonard '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Kailey Warrior '27 Madisen Hamai '26
Bulls Women Ghislaine Van Empel '27 Catherine Brennan '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Grace Jones '28 Melissa Janes '26
Bulls Women JV Sara Menesale '28 Ivy Dumas '29

Conditions — 09/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1015.4 hPa

Temperature

85°F
↑ 89°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 93°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover34% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1015.4 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: an underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.42 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →