Jacksonville University '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.01 (fleet 2.77) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 9–3 (75%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 9–3 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 9–3 against 8.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Bud Morrow Open Team Race | skipper | 2.27 | 2.36 | 9–3 | 8.8 | +0.09 | 0.0 | 62% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Seahawk Showdown | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.8 | 2.67 |
| SAISA South Top 6 Invite | Skipper | C | 4 | 6.2 | -0.30 |
| SAISA South Trophy | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.6 | 2.30 |
| SAISA Open Top 6 Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.1 | 1.84 |
| Charleston Fall Interconference | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.8 | 2.78 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Old Florida Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.4 | 2.14 |
| Miami Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.7 | 2.41 |
| Bud Morrow Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 75% | — |
| 2026 SAISA Open | Crew | B | 2 | 3.0 | +0.01 |
| 10th Annual Sailpack Oriental Intercollegiate | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.5 | 3.48 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA South Fall Tournament | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.5 | 3.83 |
| Greg Popp Trophy @ ERAU | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.0 | 2.37 |
| The Dick Allsop Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.5 | 2.72 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Old Florida | Skipper | B | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.9 | 2.07 |
| Miami Trophy (SAISA) | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.7 | 1.66 |
| Greg Popp Trophy @ ERAU | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.7 | 1.86 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
