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Old Florida

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 3 6
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 6 15
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 10 9 19
4 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 8 12 20
5 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 15 15 30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 1444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 2555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls666
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights333

Division B

Team1B2B3B
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 1555
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators 2666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins333
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights444

Conditions — 03/08/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From SW (220°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine2.7 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1016.3 hPa Rain0.26 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →