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Greg Popp Trophy @ ERAU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 12 27 39
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 24 16 40
3 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 22 21 43
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 39 22 61
5 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 44 19 63
6 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 47 25 72
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 27 49 76
8 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 27 60 87
9 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 47 51 98
10 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 47 60 107
11 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 62 52 114
12 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 70 66 136
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 3 1 1 3 1 12 Dawson Kohl '27
Priscilla Foster '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 5 5 5 3 2 2 22 Sean Ellison '29
Emerson Teer '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 4 3 8 1 4 24 Parker Thran '28
Elizabeth Williamson '26
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 1 2 4 5 9 6 27 Carlos Beckmann '29
Nathan Crovatto '26
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 6 1 2 2 7 9 27 Kamron Kaiser '28
Olivia Figley '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 7 7 11 5 7 39 Blake March '27
Daniela Rivera '29
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 11 9 6 7 8 3 44 Harrison Vanderground '28
Isabelle Bornebusch '29
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 7 6 10 10 4 10 47 Zechariah Frantz '25
Tristan Baird '28
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 8 10 8 6 10 5 47 Kyan Clark '29
Kyle Hanus '29
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 10 8 11 4 6 8 47 Ava Garrett '29
Kae Kitakata '27
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 9 11 9 9 12 12 62 Peter Vinogradov '27
Jay Teters '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 12 12 12 12 11 11 70 Christopher Cunha '28 [1-3]
Kevin Allison '28 [4-6]
Vanessa Hernandez '27 [1-3]
Emilie Hatsch '26 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 4 1 1 2 2 6 16 Darby Smith '28
Natalie Dunlap '28
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 3 2 5 3 1 19 Josh Becher '26
Lanee Imperato '29
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 5 4 1 6 4 21 Charles Mcgucken '29
Cyra Morano '29
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 4 3 3 1 3 22 Zach O'Connor '27
Sarah Percy '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 2 6 6 4 5 2 25 Mason Howell '28
Lawson Policari '29
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 3 2 5 8 4 5 27 Gabby Ramia '29
Nathan Hjort '27
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 6 9 7 9 10 8 49 Samantha Eckert '29 [1-3]
Bennett Tobey '29 [4-6]
Joshua Osborne '27 [1-3]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 7 7 8 7 11 11 51 Caroline Rozands '29
Lauren Lopez '29
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 10 12 10 6 7 7 52 Ayden Feria '27
Sean Clark '25
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 9 8 9 12 12 10 60 Rain Hong '28
Ashley Flanagan '27
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 11 11 11 10 8 9 60 Matthew Schuler '29
Carson Rocha '29
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 12 10 12 11 9 12 66 Louis Augier '26
Dylan Suber '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold222444
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles111333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators999111111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles444666
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins666888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins555777
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes101010121212
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish777999
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls111111111
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women121212222
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights888101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold333555
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators101010121212
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles555777
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins777999
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins666888
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes111111111
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish888101010
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls121212222
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women111333
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights999111111

Conditions — 09/27/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1011.7 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.1 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From WNW (295°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine7.5 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1011.7 hPa Rain0.19 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Embry-Riddle: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.24)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.24 means a rating gap counts about 21% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Embry-Riddle by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Embry-Riddle, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →