University of Central Florida '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.32 (fleet -0.45) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–16 (11%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 2–16 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 2–16 against 1.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-11 | SAISA Women's Team Racing Championships | skipper | -0.12 | -3.12 | 0–4 | 0.0 | ≤−3.00 | 0.0 | >99% |
| 2025-03-08 | The Turner Team Race | skipper | -0.25 | 0.08 | 2–12 | 1.7 | +0.33 | 0.1 | 55% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Greg Popp Trophy @ ERAU | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.7 | -0.86 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Coed Champs: Richard Tillman Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 14.8 | -0.86 |
| Miami Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.8 | 0.46 |
| 2026 Azalea Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 14.5 | -1.51 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| SAISA Match Race Championships Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 7.0 | — |
| Greg Popp Trophy @ ERAU | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.0 | -0.88 |
| The Dick Allsop Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.2 | -1.28 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| The Turner Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 25% | — |
| SAISA Women's Team Racing Championships Women's | Skipper | TR | 4 | 0% | — |
| SAISA Women's Fleet Race Champs - Ann Boyd Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.6 | -1.68 |
| SAISA Top 18 Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 15.4 | 0.06 |
| SAISA Spring Open Championship - Tillman Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.7 | 1.12 |
| Bud Morrow Cup | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.4 | -0.10 |
| 2025 Azalea Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 16.7 | -1.47 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| The Dick Allsop Trophy | Skipper | A | 7 | 16.1 | -1.91 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
