Navigate

Greg Popp Trophy @ ERAU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 17 12 29
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 15 25 40
3 Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 33 17 50
4 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 31 22 53
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 37 39 76
6 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 34 43 77
7 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 48 39 87
8 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 1 55 MRP 35 90 MRP
9 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 42 48 90
10 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 40 54 94
11 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 2 85 MRP 83 MRP 168 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 7 1 1 1 2 3 15 Nate Bonham '28
Sarah Goodyear '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 2 4 2 1 7 17 Joe Seiffert '25
Amelia Sulciner '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 10 4 2 3 10 2 31 Darby Smith '28
Will Platten '27
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 5 3 6 5 5 9 33 Nathan Hjort '27
Priscilla Foster '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 2 7 8 7 6 4 34 Rylie Cataldo '27
Andrew Lam '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 3 6 3 9 8 8 37 Shay Bridge '28
Isabel Brenner '28
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 6 9 10 10 4 1 40 William Meade '27
Aaron Lukowski '28
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 DSQ 5 4 7 6 42 Jakob Barski '28
Zuzanna Barska '26
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 9 5 7 8 9 10 48 Josh Rosen '26
Alexandra Gustafson '28
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 1 4 8 9 6 3 5 55 MRP Julian Larsen '26
Brianna Nardelli '25
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 2 11 10 11 11 11 11 85 MRP Nicolas Benavides '25
Yaakov Berman '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 12 Thomas Pappas '25
Savannah Monnig '27
Palm Beach Atlantic University Palm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish 2 4 7 1 1 2 17 Dawson Kohl '27
Emma Kilcollins '27
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 3 2 4 9 1 22 Parker Thran '28
Roman Borger '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 6 2 3 5 4 5 25 Mason Mattice '28
Andrea Boknevitz '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 1 9 5 4 6 8 3 35 Charlie Eckert '27
Lia Maman '27
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Blue & Gold 5 8 5 7 7 7 39 Suhas Medidi '26 [1-6]
Henry Germano '26 [1-3]
Louis Augier '26 [4-6]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 8 6 6 9 2 8 39 Jack Adderley '28 [1-3]
Matthew Sexton '28 [4-6]
Alexander Goldsmith '28 [1-3]
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 4 7 DSQ 8 6 6 43 Zechariah Frantz '25
Mason Howell '28
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 9 8 10 5 9 48 Daniel Borras-Quintero '25
Jay Teters '27
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 10 11 9 3 10 11 54 Ryan Sarsen '28
Julia Nicholson '27
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 2 11 10 10 11 11 10 83 MRP Adrien Barnes '28
Ethan Tassin '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold222444
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles111333
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators111111222
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers333555
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins555777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2666888
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish777999
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars888101010
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights 1999111111
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights 2101010111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Blue & Gold333555
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles222444
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators111333
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers444666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins666888
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1555777
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 2777999
Palm Beach Atlantic UniversityPalm Beach Atlantic University Sailfish888101010
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars999111111
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights 1101010111
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights 2111111222

Conditions — 09/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1012.0 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover90% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1012.0 hPa Rain0.26 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Embry-Riddle: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.57 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Embry-Riddle by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Embry-Riddle, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →