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MCSA Fall Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 37 21 58
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 31 43 74
3 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 53 32 85
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 30 61 91
5 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 53 51 104
6 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 77 47 124
7 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 62 76 138
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 75 90 165
9 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 90 94 184
10 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 99 93 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 3 4 1 4 1 1 2 4 1 8 30 Nicholas Chesemore '27
Jonah Milstone '29
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 1 1 3 2 2 6 3 3 6 2 31 Lorenzo Puertas '29
Grace Redner '27
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 5 2 7 2 5 4 2 1 1 2 6 37 Michael Cyrul '28 [1-11]
Aidan Kiergan '27 [1-2, 7-11]
John Sullivan '26 [3-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 3 4 3 4 1 7 5 8 8 3 7 53 Gavin Eskilson '29
Miranda Beitel '29
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers DSQ 6 2 5 3 6 3 5 6 5 1 53 William Styslinger '28 [1-11]
Katherine Ahlquist '28 [1-2, 11]
Carter Harms '27 [3-10]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 7 7 8 6 6 8 4 6 2 4 4 62 Lucas Nykamp '29
Ella Sligh '28
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 4 10 5 8 7 9 8 7 7 7 3 75 Brian Zettlemoyer '27
Ava Bradd '26
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 9 9 6 7 8 5 7 4 5 8 9 77 Nick Myneni '26
Gavin Parsons '28
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 8 9 10 9 3 9 9 9 RAF 5 90 Mason Shaw '26
Benjamin Conrad '26
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 6 5 10 9 10 10 10 10 10 9 10 99 Alex Strassberg Alonso '28
Marie Schauer '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 4 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 3 2 21 Payden Pittman '28 [1-11]
Jack O'Connor '26 [1-10]
John Sullivan '26 [11]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 7 3 3 2 5 32 Luke Sadalla '28 [1-11]
Cora Star '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Samantha Forgosh '26 [5-8]
Herbert Single '27 [11]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 6 5 6 6 3 2 2 5 1 1 43 Katherine Simcoe '26 [1-4]
Lila Torresen '29 [5-11]
Sabrina Maas '27 [1-4]
Alexander Reynolds '28 [5-11]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University MTU Husky One 4 3 2 5 5 5 3 7 2 4 7 47 Lucas Rodenroth '27 [1-11]
Lillian Molitor '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Casey Dietsch '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Astrid Myhre '28 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 7 2 DNF 2 4 4 4 4 4 6 3 51 Penelope Whiteside '28 [1-11]
Claire Poremba '27 [1-8]
Caden Harrison '28 [9-11]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 3 7 OCS 1 3 6 5 8 6 7 4 61 George Warfel '26 [1-10]
Cole Abbott '26 [11]
Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-10]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 5 5 4 7 10 9 6 6 9 9 6 76 Caroline Henry '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale '28 [7-8, 11]
Adelyn Zimmerman '28 [1-6, 9-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 8 7 10 7 10 9 9 8 5 8 90 Benjamin Karle '28
Kendall Herzog '26
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 10 9 6 8 8 8 10 5 10 10 9 93 James Klancnik '28 [1-6, 9-10]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [7-8, 11]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [1-2]
Amber Thorland '29 [3-11]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 10 8 9 9 7 8 10 7 8 10 94 Emma Hershey '27
Jillian Hickman '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons77991133557
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen11335577991
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles2244668810102
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines8810102244668
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One33557799113
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 14466881010224
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 255779911335
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish99113355779
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes6688101022446
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers10102244668810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons8810102244668
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen2244668810102
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles33557799113
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines99113355779
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University MTU Husky One4466881010224
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 155779911335
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 26688101022446
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish10102244668810
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes77991133557
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers11335577991
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hope College Hope College Lucas Nykamp '29 Ella Sligh '28
Flying Dutchmen Caroline Henry '27 [1-6, 9-10]
Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale '28 [7-8, 11]		 Adelyn Zimmerman '28 [1-6, 9-10]
Marquette University Marquette University Brian Zettlemoyer '27 Ava Bradd '26
Golden Eagles Benjamin Karle '28 Kendall Herzog '26
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Nick Myneni '26 Gavin Parsons '28
MTU Husky One Lucas Rodenroth '27 [1-11] Lillian Molitor '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Casey Dietsch '26 [3-4, 7-8, 11]
Astrid Myhre '28 [9-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Nicholas Chesemore '27 Jonah Milstone '29
Wildcats 1 George Warfel '26 [1-10]
Cole Abbott '26 [11]		 Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Gavin Eskilson '29 Miranda Beitel '29
Wildcats 2 Luke Sadalla '28 [1-11] Cora Star '26 [1-4, 9-10]
Samantha Forgosh '26 [5-8]
Herbert Single '27 [11]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Mason Shaw '26 Benjamin Conrad '26
Buckeyes Emma Hershey '27 Jillian Hickman '27
University of Chicago University of Chicago Alex Strassberg Alonso '28 Marie Schauer '29
Maroons James Klancnik '28 [1-6, 9-10]
Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [7-8, 11]		 Tomas Lopez-Valcarcel '29 [1-2]
Amber Thorland '29 [3-11]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lorenzo Puertas '29 Grace Redner '27
Wolverines Katherine Simcoe '26 [1-4]
Lila Torresen '29 [5-11]		 Sabrina Maas '27 [1-4]
Alexander Reynolds '28 [5-11]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Michael Cyrul '28 [1-11] Aidan Kiergan '27 [1-2, 7-11]
John Sullivan '26 [3-6]
Fighting Irish Payden Pittman '28 [1-11] Jack O'Connor '26 [1-10]
John Sullivan '26 [11]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin William Styslinger '28 [1-11] Katherine Ahlquist '28 [1-2, 11]
Carter Harms '27 [3-10]
Badgers Penelope Whiteside '28 [1-11] Claire Poremba '27 [1-8]
Caden Harrison '28 [9-11]

Conditions — 11/01/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1019.8 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 42°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 19.0 kn
From N (354°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1019.8 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · S 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marquette: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marquette by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 13 labelled days at Marquette, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →