University of Michigan '26
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | 0.55 | 233 of 251 | 39 | Fall 2025 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 (fleet 1.03) | 316 of 328 | +0.11 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 30–57 (34%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 16–15 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 2–16 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 5–10 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 7–16 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 9 graded regattas (87 matches) the record is 30–57 against 21.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+9.0). 3 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 18 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 1.33 | 3.14 | 1–13 | 0.2 | +1.81 | 1.3 | 17% |
| 2026-04-03 | MCSA Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.28 | 4.28 | 7–0 | 6.5 | ≥+3.00 | 0.7 | 58% |
| 2026-03-21 | Big 10 Team Race | skipper | 0.99 | 3.54 | 8–2 | 3.8 | +2.55 | 7.5 | <1% |
| 2025-04-11 | MCSA Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.94 | 0.90 | 1–5 | 1.0 | −0.04 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2025-03-29 | Big 10 Team Race | skipper | 0.91 | 0.66 | 1–11 | 1.3 | −0.25 | 0.0 | 74% |
| 2024-04-20 | B10 Team Race | skipper | 0.71 | 2.98 | 5–4 | 1.1 | +2.27 | 7.3 | <1% |
| 2024-04-12 | MCSA Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 0.70 | -2.30 | 0–6 | 0.7 | ≤−3.00 | 1.0 | >99% |
| 2023-04-29 | Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 0.83 | -2.17 | 0–11 | 0.0 | ≤−3.00 | 0.0 | >99% |
| 2023-04-22 | Big Ten Team Race | skipper | 0.58 | 0.80 | 7–5 | 6.5 | +0.22 | 0.1 | 49% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semis Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 14.8 | 0.93 |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 15.5 | -0.29 |
| MCSA Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 7 | 100% | — |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 14 | 7% | — |
| Big 10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 78% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Wisco Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.1 | 1.29 |
| MCSA Women’s Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 11 | 3.0 | -0.22 |
| MCSA Fall Championship | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.8 | 0.83 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 16.4 | -0.57 |
| MCSA Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 6 | 17% | — |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.2 | -0.16 |
| Big 10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 8% | — |
| 2025 Azalea Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.0 | 1.13 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 15 | 14.4 | 0.07 |
| Women's ACC Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 11 | 15.5 | 1.25 |
| MCSA Women's Singlehanded Championship Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 10 | 1.0 | — |
| Janet Lutz Trophy Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 12 | 17.5 | -0.82 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.9 | -0.10 |
| MCSA Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 5 | 0% | — |
| MCSA Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 2 | 5.0 | — |
| B10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 67% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC Round 1A Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 13.3 | 1.03 |
| MCSA Singlehanded Championship: Womens ILCA 6 Women's Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.2 | 0.36 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 11 | 0% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.0 | 0.28 |
| Big Ten Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 16.2 | 0.22 |
| Wisco Womens Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.8 | 0.04 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.5 | 2.54 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
