Northwestern University '29
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 68.98 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.095 rating points from 119 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →Includes linked high school and college seasons.
| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | Jones College Prep | 2.19 | 66.48 | 70.00 | 2 of 5 | 12 | Team page | |
| Spring 2024 | Jones College Prep | 1.65 | 55.04 | 75.00 | 2 of 6 | 21 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | Jones College Prep | 1.53 | 50.92 | 81.25 | 2 of 8 | 10 | Team page | |
| Spring 2023 | Jones College Prep | 1.77 | 54.47 | 78.57 | 2 of 7 | 43 | Team page |
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 0.92 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 1 | Fall 2026 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.61 (fleet 2.22) | 263 of 331 | +0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 18–25 (42%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 18–25 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (43 matches) the record is 18–25 against 17.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | ICSA Open Team Race National Championship | skipper | 2.18 | -0.82 | 0–15 | 0.5 | ≤−3.00 | 0.6 | >99% |
| 2026-04-10 | MCSA Open Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 2.04 | 5.04 | 10–0 | 8.2 | ≥+3.00 | 3.1 | 10% |
| 2026-02-21 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 2.08 | 1.66 | 8–10 | 9.1 | −0.42 | 0.3 | 84% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.7 | 2.08 |
| MCSA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Skipper | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| Emma B. Memorial Regatta 2026 | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.5 | 2.89 |
| Cary Price | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.8 | 1.70 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| MCSA Open Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 10 | 100% | — |
| MCSA Open Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | A, B | 3 | 3.3 | — |
| NU Spring | Skipper | B | 4 | 1.8 | 2.97 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 44% | — |
| ICSA Open Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 15 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Rebecca Blank Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 1.6 | 3.58 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 4 | 11.0 | 1.29 |
| MCSA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| MCSA Fall Championship | Skipper | A | 11 | 4.8 | 2.12 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Gavin Eskilson |  Jones College Prep |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
